TCS Stock Outlook Cautious After Q3 Results; Brokerages Flag Weak Growth Visibility
Brokerages have adopted a cautious outlook on TCS following Q3 FY26 results, with most flagging limited growth visibility despite operationally in-line performance. The stock, down 24% over the past year, closed at ₹3,243 ahead of earnings. While TCS reported a 14% YoY decline in net profit due to exceptional charges, profit excluding one-offs rose 8.5% with EBIT margin expanding 70 basis points to 25.2%. CLSA remained positive citing AI revenue growth to $1.8 billion and management confidence in CY26.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
The outlook for Tata Consultancy Services stock has turned cautious to mixed following its Q3 FY26 results. Most brokerages have stopped short of a bullish stance, flagging limited growth visibility, muted international momentum, and constrained margin upside despite an operationally in-line quarter.
TCS shares had risen 1.10% on Monday to close at ₹3,243.00 on the NSE ahead of the earnings announcement. However, the stock remains down more than 24% over the past year, with investors closely watching whether growth momentum can revive in CY26.
Mixed Brokerage Reactions
Brokerage opinions on TCS stock varied significantly following the Q3 results:
| Brokerage | Rating | Target Price | Key Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|
| Citi | Sell | ₹3,020.00 | Weak forward indicators, muted international growth |
| Nomura | Neutral | ₹3,300.00 | Limited growth leadership visibility |
| HSBC | Hold | ₹3,450.00 | Status quo quarter, balanced risk-reward |
| CLSA | Outperform | ₹3,593.00 | AI revenue growth, management confidence |
Key Concerns Highlighted
Citi struck the most bearish note, issuing a 'Sell' call with concerns over weak forward indicators. The brokerage highlighted just 1.50% year-on-year growth in trailing twelve-month total contract value and a 4% year-on-year decline in headcount. Citi also noted that nearly half of the quarter-on-quarter revenue growth was driven by equipment and software rather than core services.
Nomura, while describing the quarter as a modest beat on revenue and margins, cautioned that meaningful margin expansion in FY27 appears unlikely without a stronger and broader-based growth recovery. HSBC characterized Q3 as a largely status quo quarter with no material change in growth trends.
Positive Outlook from CLSA
CLSA offered the most optimistic view with an 'Outperform' rating and target price of ₹3,593.00, implying approximately 11% upside potential. The brokerage highlighted several positive factors:
- Constant-currency sequential revenue growth of 0.80% in Q3 FY26
- Management's confidence in stronger CY26 growth
- Sharp rise in annualized AI revenue to $1.80 billion, up 17.30% quarter-on-quarter
However, CLSA noted that the order book declined 7% sequentially to $9.30 billion.
Financial Performance Overview
TCS's Q3 FY26 financial performance showed mixed results:
| Metric | Performance | Details |
|---|---|---|
| Net Profit (Reported) | -14% YoY | Due to exceptional charges |
| Net Profit (Excluding One-offs) | +8.50% YoY | Operational improvement |
| EBIT Margin | 25.20% | Up 70 basis points YoY despite wage hikes |
| Dividend Announced | ₹57.00 per share | Including special payout |
The company's EBIT margin expansion of 70 basis points year-on-year to 25.20% was particularly noteworthy, achieved despite wage hikes during the quarter. TCS also announced a dividend of ₹57.00 per share, which includes a special payout component.
Market Outlook
With the stock trading significantly below its historical highs and brokerages presenting mixed views, investor focus remains on whether TCS can demonstrate sustained growth momentum in the coming quarters. The company's AI revenue growth and management's optimism about CY26 performance provide some positive signals, though concerns about broader growth visibility persist across most analyst coverage.
Historical Stock Returns for Tata Consultancy Services
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.21% | +0.95% | +0.81% | -0.60% | -24.34% | +2.26% |
















































