TCS Shares Rise After Q3 Results and Higher-Than-Expected Dividend Announcement
TCS shares rose 0.86% to ₹3,235.70 following Q3 results that met expectations and a bumper dividend announcement of ₹57 per share, significantly exceeding analyst estimates of ₹34.19. Analyst reactions were mixed, with price targets ranging from ₹3,020 to ₹4,810, though 68.6% of analysts maintain buy ratings despite the stock's 25% decline over the past year.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Tata Consultancy Services shares gained ground following the release of Q3 results that were broadly in line with market expectations. The stock closed 0.86% higher at ₹3,235.70 on Monday, outperforming the benchmark index which rose 0.36%. Despite a 25% correction over the past 12 months, over two-thirds of analysts maintain positive ratings on India's largest IT services company.
Mixed Analyst Reactions to Q3 Performance
The December-quarter results prompted varied responses from analysts, with opinions ranging from bullish to bearish. Equipment and software businesses accounted for nearly half of TCS's Q3 growth, according to analyst observations.
Bullish Analyst Views
Macquarie emerged as the most optimistic, maintaining an "outperform" rating with the highest price target among major brokerages:
| Brokerage: | Rating | Target Price | Upside Potential |
|---|---|---|---|
| Macquarie: | Outperform | ₹4,810.00 | 48.2% |
| Kotak Institutional Equities: | Buy | ₹3,675.00 | 13.6% |
Macquarie expects growth acceleration and margin improvement to drive a price-to-earnings re-rating by FY27. Kotak Institutional Equities reiterated its "buy" call, citing TCS's strong positioning as a core partner for clients in cloud, data, and AI technologies. However, Kotak noted that sustained execution, particularly in AI, will be critical for any re-rating.
Cautious and Bearish Perspectives
Several analysts maintained more conservative stances on the stock:
| Brokerage: | Rating | Target Price | Key Concerns |
|---|---|---|---|
| Citi: | Sell | ₹3,020.00 | Muted international growth |
| Nomura: | Neutral | ₹3,300.00 | Limited margin improvement |
| HSBC: | Hold | ₹3,450.00 | Balanced risk-reward |
Citi warned that muted growth in TCS's international business could disappoint investors. Nomura argued that significant margin improvement is unlikely in FY27 without stronger growth. HSBC noted that while demand commentary was positive, it did not exceed market expectations.
Analyst Consensus and Price Targets
The overall analyst sentiment remains predominantly positive despite mixed Q3 reactions:
| Rating Category: | Number of Analysts | Percentage |
|---|---|---|
| Buy: | 35 | 68.6% |
| Hold: | 12 | 23.5% |
| Sell: | 4 | 7.9% |
| Total: | 51 | 100.0% |
The average 12-month consensus price target stands at ₹3,609.00, implying a downside of 21.9% from Monday's closing price.
Bumper Dividend Exceeds Expectations
TCS announced a substantial dividend payout that significantly surpassed market expectations:
| Dividend Component: | Amount per Share |
|---|---|
| Interim Dividend: | ₹11.00 |
| Special Dividend: | ₹46.00 |
| Total Dividend: | ₹57.00 |
| Analyst Expectation: | ₹34.19 |
| Surprise: | +66.7% |
The record date for determining eligible shareholders is January 17, with the dividend payment scheduled for February 3. This announcement represents a significant positive surprise for investors, with the actual payout exceeding analyst estimates by ₹22.81 per share.
Historical Stock Returns for Tata Consultancy Services
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.46% | +1.19% | +1.06% | -0.35% | -24.16% | +2.51% |
















































