Maruti Suzuki Q1 Profit Expected to Drop 16% on Weak Volumes and Margin Pressure
Maruti Suzuki is projected to report weak Q1 results with a 16% year-on-year decline in profit after tax, according to average estimates from six brokerages. Revenue is expected to grow by 2% with total vehicle dispatches at 528,000 units, up 1% year-on-year. The company's performance is likely impacted by muted domestic volumes and an unfavorable product mix. Export contribution increased to 18% from 13.50%, while the higher-margin UV share slightly decreased. EBITDA margins are expected to contract by 170-220 basis points year-on-year due to lower scale, Kharkhoda plant costs, and higher share of low-margin exports.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Maruti Suzuki , India's leading automobile manufacturer, is expected to report weak quarterly results for Q1, with profit after tax (PAT) likely declining 16% year-on-year according to average estimates from six brokerages. The company's performance is anticipated to be impacted by muted domestic volumes and an unfavorable product mix.
Projected Financial Performance
- Revenue is projected to grow by a modest 2.00% compared to the previous year
- Total vehicle dispatches stood at approximately 528,000 units, representing only a 1.00% year-on-year growth
Key Factors Affecting Performance
Shift in Product Mix
- Export contribution increased to 18.00% from 13.50% last year
- Higher-margin UV (Utility Vehicle) share dipped slightly to 30.70% from 31.30%
Quarter-on-Quarter Performance
- Domestic volumes fell 17.00% quarter-on-quarter
- Exports rose 14.00% during the same period
Margin Pressure
EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) margins are expected to remain flat or contract year-on-year:
- Estimates range from 10.50% to 10.90%
- This represents a decline of 170-220 basis points from the previous year
The margin pressure is attributed to:
- Lower scale
- Full-quarter Kharkhoda plant costs
- Higher share of low-margin exports
These factors are partially offset by the rollback of one-time expenses from the previous quarter.
Varied Analyst Projections
Individual brokerage PAT estimates show a wide range:
- Lowest estimate: 9.50% year-on-year decline
- Highest estimate: 19.00% year-on-year decline
As Maruti Suzuki navigates through these challenging market conditions, investors and industry observers will be closely watching the official Q1 results to gauge the company's performance and future outlook in the competitive Indian automotive sector.
Historical Stock Returns for Maruti Suzuki
1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
+1.19% | +0.49% | +1.76% | +2.50% | -3.80% | +101.48% |