ICICI Securities Maintains Hold Rating on HCL Technologies with Target Price of ₹1,590
ICICI Securities maintains Hold rating on HCL Technologies with ₹1,590 target price following strong Q3 results. The company beat revenue estimates with 4.2% QoQ constant currency growth, driven by software products business and healthy ER&D traction. Deal momentum remained robust with $3 billion TCV, up 17% QoQ and 43.5% YoY, positioning the company well for potential leadership in large-cap peer growth.

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ICICI Securities has maintained its Hold rating on HCL Technologies with a target price of ₹1,590, following the company's strong quarterly performance that exceeded revenue expectations.
Strong Revenue Performance Beats Estimates
HCL Technologies delivered impressive revenue growth of 4.2% quarter-on-quarter in constant currency terms, significantly outperforming analyst expectations. The performance surpassed ICICI Securities' estimate of 2.2% and consensus estimate of 2.8%, demonstrating the company's resilient business momentum.
| Performance Metric | Actual | ICICI Securities Estimate | Consensus Estimate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (QoQ CC) | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% |
The strong revenue performance was primarily driven by robust growth in the software products business, which benefited from seasonal strength. Additionally, the company maintained healthy traction in its engineering research and development (ER&D) and IT services segments, despite facing seasonal headwinds from furloughs.
Robust Deal Momentum and Contract Wins
HCL Technologies reported exceptional deal performance with total contract value (TCV) reaching $3.00 billion, marking significant growth across multiple timeframes. The company achieved its highest-ever annual contract value (ACV) component, indicating strong client commitment and long-term business visibility.
| Deal Metrics | Value/Growth |
|---|---|
| Total Contract Value | $3.00 billion |
| Quarter-on-Quarter Growth | +17.0% |
| Year-on-Year Growth | +43.5% |
| TTM TCV Growth (YoY) | +21.0% |
The trailing twelve months TCV growth of 21% year-on-year positions HCL Technologies favorably to potentially report the highest growth among large-cap peers in FY27.
Market Dynamics and Emerging Opportunities
Management highlighted that traditional discretionary spending has experienced a slowdown in the current market environment. However, new opportunities are emerging in specialized areas, particularly in managing AI infrastructure and AI engineering services, which could drive future growth prospects.
Valuation and Investment Outlook
ICICI Securities maintains its Hold recommendation with a target price of ₹1,590, applying differentiated valuation multiples across business segments:
| Business Segment | Valuation Multiple |
|---|---|
| Services Business | 21x one-year forward P/E |
| Product Business | 18x one-year forward P/E |
The brokerage's cautious stance reflects the mixed market dynamics, balancing the company's strong operational performance against broader industry challenges in discretionary spending.
Historical Stock Returns for HCL Technologies
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -5.32% | -6.69% | -2.14% | +10.54% | -5.14% | +67.22% |

































