HDFC Bank Shares Fall 1.9% Despite Strong Q3 Update as LDR Concerns Weigh
HDFC Bank reported strong Q3 performance with 12% loan growth and 11.5% deposit growth, achieving double-digit loan growth for the first time post-merger. However, shares declined 1.9% due to concerns over the rising Loan-Deposit Ratio reaching 99%, well above management's target of below 90%, raising questions about deposit constraints limiting future growth.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
HDFC Bank shares emerged as one of the top laggards in Nifty 50 on Monday, falling 1.90% to ₹982.70 despite reporting a strong Q3 business update. The decline weighed heavily on the benchmark index, contributing over 40 points negatively, even as India's largest private sector bank demonstrated robust performance across key financial parameters during the December quarter.
Strong Q3 Performance Metrics
The bank achieved a significant milestone by registering double-digit loan growth for the first time since the merger with HDFC Ltd. on a normalized base. The lender's loan book expanded by 12.00% year-on-year for the quarter, while deposit growth remained in-line with advances at 11.50% compared to the same period last year.
| Performance Metrics: | Q3 Update | Growth Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Loan Book Growth: | Latest Quarter | 12.00% YoY |
| Deposit Growth: | Latest Quarter | 11.50% YoY |
| Stock Price: | ₹982.70 | -1.90% |
| Nifty Impact: | Negative | 40+ points |
LDR Ratio Emerges as Key Concern
Despite the strong operational performance, analysts have identified the Loan-Deposit Ratio (LDR) as the primary reason behind the stock's decline. The LDR has increased by 50 basis points during the quarter to nearly 99.00%, moving away from management's guidance to bring the ratio below 90.00% in the near-term.
| Key Ratios: | Current Level | Management Target |
|---|---|---|
| Loan-Deposit Ratio: | 99.00% | Below 90.00% |
| Quarterly Change: | +50 bps | Decreasing trend |
Growth Constraints and Future Outlook
The elevated LDR ratio raises concerns about deposit constraints becoming a key growth limitation for HDFC Bank, particularly given the higher ratio following the merger. This development also casts questions on the lender's growth trajectory for the next financial year, especially considering management's earlier indication that growth in financial year 2027 would exceed industry levels.
Analysts argue that with a higher LDR, deposit mobilization becomes critical for sustaining the current growth momentum. The bank's ability to attract deposits while maintaining its competitive lending position will be crucial for meeting its ambitious growth targets in the coming years.
Market Reaction Reflects Structural Concerns
While HDFC Bank's achievement of double-digit loan growth post-merger represents a significant operational milestone, the market's negative reaction underscores investor concerns about sustainable growth amid deposit constraints. The disconnect between strong quarterly performance and stock price movement highlights the importance of balance sheet management in the banking sector, where growth quality often matters more than growth quantity.
Historical Stock Returns for HDFC Bank
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -2.41% | -1.47% | -1.24% | -1.56% | +8.99% | +38.06% |















































