Eternal Q3 Earnings Preview: Revenue Expected to Surge 193% YoY Despite Blinkit Losses
Brokerages project Eternal to deliver strong Q3 performance with consolidated revenue expected to surge 193% year-on-year and profit after tax rising 51%, driven primarily by Blinkit's transition to a first-party model. The food delivery segment is expected to show steady 12-18% growth with improving EBITDA margins, while Blinkit remains the key growth driver despite persistent losses of ₹130-140 crore. Analysts will closely monitor competitive dynamics and the path to profitability for newer business segments.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Eternal is positioned for robust headline growth in the December quarter, with analysts projecting strong performance driven by Blinkit's business model transition and sustained quick commerce momentum. However, margin performance and ongoing losses in newer business segments remain key areas of concern for investors.
Consolidated Financial Projections
Brokerages maintain optimistic outlook for Eternal's Q3 performance, with significant growth expected across key metrics:
| Financial Metric | Projected Growth |
|---|---|
| Consolidated Revenue | +193% YoY |
| Profit After Tax | +51% YoY |
The substantial revenue growth is largely attributed to Blinkit's transition to a first-party model, which significantly inflates reported revenue figures without proportionate changes in underlying business economics.
Food Delivery Segment Performance
The core food delivery business is expected to maintain steady growth momentum, though at a more moderate pace compared to previous quarters. Key projections from leading brokerages indicate:
| Brokerage | Order Value Growth (YoY) | EBITDA Margin Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Nuvama | +14.10% | 5.40% |
| Motilal Oswal | +12.00% | 5.50% |
| Kotak Equities | +18.00% | 4.50% |
Nuvama estimates net order value for food delivery to rise 2.20% quarter-on-quarter, indicating stable demand with limited acceleration. Motilal Oswal expects take rates to hold steady at approximately 21.50%, while most brokerages foresee incremental profitability gains with sequential margin improvements.
Blinkit's Rapid Expansion and Persistent Losses
Blinkit continues as the primary growth driver, with brokerages projecting substantial expansion across key operational metrics:
| Growth Parameter | Projected Change |
|---|---|
| Net Order Value (Sequential) | +14-15% |
| Net Order Value (YoY) | +122-123% |
| Dark Store Additions (Q3) | ~284 stores |
| Total Network Size | ~2,100 outlets |
Despite strong growth momentum, profitability remains elusive for the quick commerce segment. Loss projections vary among analysts:
- Nuvama: Adjusted EBITDA loss widening to ₹130.00 crore
- Kotak Equities: Loss of approximately ₹140.00 crore, though slightly lower sequentially
- Motilal Oswal: Adjusted EBITDA margin at -1.30% of net order value
Motilal Oswal expects Blinkit's gross profitability to improve to about 26.50%, supported by better take rates and operational efficiencies from increased order density.
Other Business Segments
Hyperpure is expected to continue its upward trajectory with strong growth projections. Kotak Equities models 71% year-on-year revenue growth for the segment, driven by higher restaurant penetration and supply-side scaling improvements.
However, higher losses in Blinkit and the District business are likely to impact overall consolidated profitability. Nuvama expects consolidated EBITDA margin to contract marginally by approximately 10 basis points quarter-on-quarter.
Key Monitoring Areas
While revenue and profit growth are expected to remain strong on paper, analysts will focus on several critical factors:
- Commentary on competitive intensity in quick commerce
- Blinkit's clear path to profitability timeline
- Food delivery order growth sustainability
- Margin performance across business segments
- Impact of business model transitions on long-term economics
The December quarter results will provide crucial insights into Eternal's ability to balance rapid growth with improving unit economics across its diversified business portfolio.
Historical Stock Returns for Eternal
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -3.55% | -4.87% | -5.14% | +5.50% | +13.18% | +115.36% |















































