Avenue Supermarts Shares Fall 2% as Analysts Flag Slowing Growth, Margin Pressure
Avenue Supermarts reported 13% revenue growth to ₹17,612.6 crore in Q3 but faced analyst concerns over slowing momentum and competitive pressures from quick commerce platforms. Citi maintained a 'Sell' rating citing margin declines in 11 of the last 12 quarters, while Morgan Stanley kept 'Equal-weight' rating. The company added 10 stores during the quarter, maintaining steady expansion despite growth challenges.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Avenue Supermarts shares declined nearly 2% on Monday following the company's mixed third quarter update, with analysts expressing concerns over slowing revenue growth momentum and increasing competitive pressures. The DMart operator's performance highlighted broader challenges facing traditional retail amid rising quick commerce competition.
Financial Performance and Growth Concerns
Avenue Supermarts reported standalone revenue growth of 13% year-on-year for the December quarter, though the absolute figure showed a marginal decline from earlier estimates.
| Metric: | Q3 Current | Q3 Previous Year | Growth (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue from Operations: | ₹17,612.60 cr | ₹15,565.00 cr | +13% |
| Store Count: | 442 stores | - | - |
| Store Additions (Quarter): | 10 stores | - | - |
| Three-year CAGR: | 15.70% | - | - |
While the company maintained double-digit growth, revenue momentum continued to moderate, with analysts noting that realisations may have come under pressure due to recent GST cuts. The company added 10 stores during the quarter, bringing total additions to 27 stores in the current fiscal year.
Analyst Reactions and Market Sentiment
Brokerages remained divided on Avenue Supermarts' prospects, with mixed ratings reflecting uncertainty about the company's ability to navigate current challenges.
| Brokerage: | Rating | Price Target | Key Concerns |
|---|---|---|---|
| Citi: | Sell | ₹3,250 | Quick commerce competition, weak demand |
| Morgan Stanley: | Equal-weight | ₹4,552 | Flat to low single-digit same store sales |
Citi maintained its 'Sell' rating, attributing the sharp moderation in growth to rising competitive intensity from quick commerce platforms, weak demand environment, and higher share of store additions in smaller towns. The brokerage highlighted that Avenue Supermarts has reported year-on-year EBITDA margin decline in 11 of the last 12 quarters.
Competitive Pressures and Operational Challenges
The retail chain faces mounting pressure from quick commerce platforms, which are impacting both pricing strategies and customer footfall. Morgan Stanley estimated implied same store sales growth for the quarter at flat to low single digits, indicating challenges in existing store performance.
| Challenge Area: | Impact |
|---|---|
| Quick Commerce Competition: | Pricing pressure, margin decline |
| Store Expansion Strategy: | Higher share in smaller towns |
| Same Store Sales Growth: | Flat to low single digits |
| EBITDA Margins: | Decline in 11 of last 12 quarters |
The company's store additions over the past year stand at 14.20%, indicating steady network expansion even as growth trends soften.
Market Performance and Outlook
Avenue Supermarts shares traded 1.77% lower at ₹3,654, with the stock down close to 3% in early trading. Among 29 analysts tracking the company, eight have 'Buy' ratings, 12 recommend 'Hold', and nine maintain 'Sell' calls.
Investors will closely monitor the company's detailed third quarter results for insights into operating performance, changes in assortment mix, and management commentary on store expansion strategy amid evolving retail dynamics.













































