Dabur Expects Q3 Profit To Grow Faster Than Revenue On GST Rate Cut Boost
Dabur India anticipates strong Q3 performance with operating profit and net profit growing ahead of mid-single digit revenue growth, supported by GST rate cuts and demand recovery. The company reports rural demand outperforming urban markets, with Home & Personal Care segment expected to deliver double-digit growth driven by Hair Oils and Oral care categories, while international business projects near double-digit growth.

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Dabur India Limited expects consolidated operating profit and net profit to grow faster than revenue in the third quarter of the current financial year, amid demand recovery aided by GST rate revisions. The FMCG major has announced early signs of demand recovery during the October-December quarter, marking a positive shift in market conditions following government tax reforms.
Rural Markets Drive Recovery Momentum
The company highlighted that rural demand continues to outperform urban demand during the quarter, reflecting improved consumer sentiment in smaller markets. This trend underscores the effectiveness of recent policy measures in stimulating consumption across India's diverse market segments.
| Market Performance: | Q3 Trends |
|---|---|
| Rural Demand: | Outperforms urban markets |
| Urban Demand: | Steady recovery witnessed |
| Overall Sentiment: | Early signs of improvement |
| Policy Impact: | GST reforms driving growth |
GST Rate Revisions Drive Market Recovery
The government restructured the GST rate framework in late September, bringing most consumer goods into the 5.00% bracket, significantly benefiting FMCG companies. Following this change, distributors and retailers initially focused on liquidating existing higher-priced inventory in the channel during October. Post trade stabilisation, consumer sentiment improved across both urban and rural markets.
| Performance Metric: | Q3 Expectation |
|---|---|
| Consolidated Revenue Growth: | Mid-single digits |
| Operating Profit Growth: | Ahead of revenue |
| Net Profit Growth: | Ahead of revenue |
| Market Sentiment: | Improved post-GST reforms |
Home & Personal Care Segment Shows Strong Momentum
The company's domestic Home & Personal care business is expected to deliver robust double-digit growth, primarily driven by strong performance in Hair Oils and Oral care categories. The majority of the company's portfolio continued to outpace category growth and is expected to register market share gains during the quarter.
| Brand Category: | Performance Highlights |
|---|---|
| Hair Oils franchise: | Strong growth driver |
| Oral care products: | Robust performance expected |
| Overall H&PC segment: | Double-digit growth anticipated |
| Market positioning: | Share gains expected |
Healthcare and F&B Segments Show Mixed Performance
The Healthcare business is expected to grow in low single digits, showing sequential improvement in its growth trajectory. Within the Food & Beverages segment, the Culinary business is projected to deliver double-digit growth, while beverages face seasonal challenges.
| Segment: | Growth Projection |
|---|---|
| Healthcare business: | Low single-digit growth |
| Culinary segment: | Double-digit growth |
| Nectars & Drinks: | Muted performance |
| Beverage portfolio: | Market share gains despite seasonality |
Despite adverse seasonality affecting nectars and drinks performance, the beverage portfolio gained market share during the quarter, reflecting strong consumer confidence in the 'Real' brand.
Favourable Macro Conditions Support Sustained Recovery
The company expects favourable macro conditions and tax reforms to support sustained recovery in demand going forward. This positive outlook is reinforced by the international business expected to post near double-digit growth in rupee terms, demonstrating robust performance across key geographies.
| Business Outlook: | Growth Expectations |
|---|---|
| Macro Conditions: | Favourable for sustained recovery |
| Tax Reforms Impact: | Supporting demand growth |
| International Business: | Near double-digit growth |
| Overall Trajectory: | Positive momentum expected |
The company's board will consider and approve the third quarter financial results at a meeting scheduled for January 29.
Historical Stock Returns for Dabur India
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.45% | +5.46% | +2.47% | +5.57% | +3.54% | -2.13% |
















































