Axis Bank Faces Headwinds as Goldman Sachs Removes from APAC Conviction List
Axis Bank, India's third-largest private lender, has been removed from Goldman Sachs' APAC Conviction List after 112 days due to underperformance. The bank's stock declined 11.00% over the past year, while the Nifty Bank index rose 6.20%. Key concerns include weak deposit growth, cost pressures, and asset quality issues. Q1 results showed a 191.00% sequential increase in provisions to Rs 3,948.00 crore and a 4.00% year-on-year decrease in net profit to Rs 5,806.00 crore. Despite challenges, analysts maintain an average target price of Rs 1,343.00, suggesting a 28.00% upside potential.

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Axis Bank , India's third-largest private lender, has encountered significant challenges in recent months, leading to its removal from Goldman Sachs' APAC Conviction List after a 112-day stint. The bank's stock has underperformed in the banking sector, declining 11.00% over the past year while the Nifty Bank index rose 6.20%.
Performance Concerns
The bank's performance has stagnated following its acquisition of Citibank's India consumer business. Key areas of concern include:
- Deposit growth weakness
- Cost pressures
- Asset quality issues
These factors have contributed to Axis Bank's underperformance relative to its peers.
Q1 Results Raise Eyebrows
The bank's recent quarterly results further fueled investor concerns:
- Provisions surged 191.00% sequentially to Rs 3,948.00 crore
- Net profit fell 4.00% year-on-year to Rs 5,806.00 crore
Analysts noted that Axis Bank's credit cost outcomes have been worse than those of ICICI Bank, despite similar unsecured lending growth. A recent spike in retail non-performing assets (NPAs) has also been observed.
Stock Performance and Valuation
During its 112-day tenure on Goldman Sachs' APAC Conviction List, Axis Bank's stock delivered negative returns of 8.30%. Currently, the stock trades at an 18.00% discount to its five-year average price-to-earnings multiple.
Despite the recent challenges, analysts maintain an average target price of Rs 1,343.00 for Axis Bank, suggesting a 28.00% upside potential from current levels.
Bank's Fundamentals and Outlook
Axis Bank maintains strong fundamentals as a major player in India's banking sector:
- 5.80 crore customers
- 5,879 branches nationwide
The bank's management has provided guidance for future performance:
Metric | Target |
---|---|
Return on Assets (ROA) | 1.50-1.70% |
Return on Equity (ROE) | 15.00% |
These targets indicate the bank's commitment to improving profitability and shareholder returns.
While Axis Bank faces near-term headwinds, its extensive customer base and branch network position it well for potential recovery. Investors and analysts will be closely monitoring the bank's progress in addressing its current challenges and capitalizing on its strong market presence.
Historical Stock Returns for Axis Bank
1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
+0.21% | -1.57% | -0.95% | +3.80% | -10.32% | +112.20% |