Upstart posts $1.34 billion in August originations; UMI holds at 1.50
- Upstart reported $1,342.1 million in loan originations for August 2026
- Daily origination volume averaged $50.7 million over 26.5 effective days
- The Upstart Macro Index (UMI) held steady at 1.50 in early September
- The current UMI level is 50% above the normal economy baseline of 1.0
- The index remains below its 2024 peak reading of 1.68

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Upstart Holdings Inc (NASDAQ: UPST) reported monthly origination volume of $1,342.1 million for August 2026. The AI lending marketplace also released its latest Upstart Macro Index (UMI) reading, which remained unchanged at 1.50.
The company processed these originations over 26.5 effective funding days. This activity resulted in a daily origination average of $50.7 million. These figures represent the total principal amount of loan originations facilitated through the platform during the period.
Macro Risk Assessment
The September 3, 2026 UMI reading of 1.50 matches the previous reading from August 3, 2026. This index estimates the impact of the macroeconomy on credit losses for Upstart-powered loans.
A UMI of 1.50 is approximately 50% above the baseline expected in a normal economy, which is set at 1.0. The index has remained above this baseline since early 2022. However, it stays below the series peak of 1.68 recorded in 2024.
What the Numbers Show
The stability of the UMI at 1.50 suggests that Upstart’s underwriting models continue to price in elevated macroeconomic risk relative to historical norms. While the index indicates sustained default risk pressure compared to the long-run baseline, the fact that it remains below the 2024 peak implies that current risk assumptions are less severe than those observed two years ago. This divergence between the current elevated state and the prior peak provides context for the risk profile embedded in new loan approvals.
Methodology Notes
Originations refer to Transaction Volume Dollars as defined in SEC filings. Origination days are calculated based on a 24-hour funding window ending at approximately 5:00 pm Eastern Time. Weekend days and bank holidays are weighted at 0.55 days to reflect lower application activity.
The data provided is unaudited and preliminary. It is subject to completion of financial closing procedures for quarterly results.
How might Upstart's AI underwriting models adapt if the UMI breaks its current stability and trends back toward the 2024 peak of 1.68?
What impact could a sustained UMI of 1.50 have on Upstart's pricing strategy and loan approval rates in the upcoming quarters?
How does the current daily origination average of $50.7 million compare to peer lending platforms facing similar macroeconomic headwinds?

































