Goldman Sachs Cuts Trent Target Price to ₹4,080 Amid Growth and Margin Concerns
Goldman Sachs has revised its outlook on Trent Limited, reducing the target price to ₹4,080 while maintaining a Neutral rating. Despite 18% Q4 revenue growth, the brokerage highlights concerns including modest 3-4% like-for-like growth, slower store expansion due to Zudio overlap, weakening operating leverage with 9% EBIT decline, and margin pressures from raw material inflation that could lead to below-consensus earnings for FY27-28.

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Trent Limited faces revised analyst expectations as Goldman Sachs maintains its Neutral rating while cutting the target price to ₹4,080 from ₹4,110. The brokerage firm has expressed concerns about the company's growth trajectory and profitability outlook despite recent strong revenue performance.
Revenue Growth Shows Moderation
The company reported approximately 18% year-on-year revenue growth in Q4, though this represents a deceleration from previous quarters. Goldman Sachs highlighted that like-for-like (LFL) growth has moderated to a modest 3-4%, indicating challenges in same-store sales performance across the retail network.
| Growth Metric | Q4 Performance |
|---|---|
| YoY Revenue Growth | ~18% |
| Like-for-Like Growth | 3-4% |
| EBIT Decline | ~9% |
Store Expansion Faces Headwinds
While Trent has been pursuing aggressive store expansion, Goldman Sachs noted that the pace of store-led growth is slowing due to Zudio format overlap in existing markets. This overlap is creating cannibalization effects, reducing the incremental revenue contribution from new store openings and impacting the overall expansion strategy's effectiveness.
Operating Leverage Concerns
The brokerage firm highlighted weakening operating leverage, with earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) declining by approximately 9% despite revenue growth. This deterioration in operational efficiency suggests that the company is facing challenges in maintaining profitability margins while scaling operations.
Margin Pressure from Input Costs
Goldman Sachs identified margin risks stemming from raw material inflation as a key concern for Trent's future profitability. The rising input costs are expected to pressure gross margins, particularly affecting the company's ability to maintain competitive pricing while preserving profit margins across its retail formats.
Earnings Outlook Below Consensus
The revised analysis indicates that Trent's earnings per share (EPS) for FY27-28 is likely to fall below market consensus expectations. This downward revision reflects the combined impact of slower growth momentum, margin pressures, and operational challenges facing the retail chain in the medium term.
Historical Stock Returns for Trent
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +6.29% | +8.48% | -1.94% | -21.90% | -33.59% | +417.35% |
How will Trent's management strategy evolve to address the Zudio format cannibalization in overlapping markets?
What specific measures could Trent implement to restore operating leverage and reverse the EBIT decline trend?
Will rising raw material costs force Trent to adjust its pricing strategy across different retail formats?

































