On Holding shares rise 13% after reaffirming FY26 sales guidance
- On Holding shares rose 13% to $30.88 after reaffirming FY26 guidance
- FY26 net sales guidance maintained at $4.390B-$4.503B, above consensus
- Company authorized a $1 billion share repurchase program through 2029
- Q3 2026 constant currency net sales growth expected around 17%

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Shares of On Holding AG (NYSE: ONON) jumped 13% to $30.88 on Tuesday following the company's affirmation of its full-year 2026 net sales outlook. The stock rally reflects investor confidence in the Swiss premium sportswear brand's sustained top-line momentum and capital return plans.
The company maintained its FY26 guidance between $4.390 billion and $4.503 billion, a range that surpasses the consensus analyst estimate of $4.320 billion. This reaffirmation signals management's confidence in achieving low-20% constant currency net sales growth for the year.
Financial Targets and Capital Allocation
On’s strategy, termed the "Premium Playbook," focuses on multi-dimensional top-line growth across verticals, regions, and channels. The company expects its immediate key growth pillars—Run, Sneaker, and Apparel—to drive outsized contributions. Expansion into new sports categories, specifically Football and Golf, will further support this expansion.
The company aims to reach absolute net sales of at least CHF 5.6 billion (approaching $7 billion at current FX rates) by 2029. This growth trajectory is supported by an ambition to sustain a gross profit margin of at least 65.0% and achieve an adjusted EBITDA margin of 22% or higher by the end of the period.
| Metric | Target / Ambition | Period |
|---|---|---|
| Net Sales CAGR | High-teens constant currency | Through 2029 |
| Absolute Net Sales | At least CHF 5.6 billion | By 2029 |
| Gross Profit Margin | At least 65.0% | Throughout period |
| Adjusted EBITDA Margin | At least 22% | By 2029 |
| Adjusted EBITDA CAGR | More than 20% | 2026–2029 |
Reflecting strong cash generation, On’s Board of Directors authorized an inaugural share repurchase of up to an aggregate of $1 billion of Class A Ordinary Shares through the end of December 2029.
What the Numbers Show
The affirmation of FY26 guidance above consensus estimates reinforces the company's operational resilience. While the long-term target for adjusted EBITDA CAGR exceeds 20%, suggesting profitability growth outpacing revenue, the immediate FY26 outlook balances this with a specific margin band of 19.5% to 20.0%. The divergence between the high-teens sales CAGR target and the >20% EBITDA CAGR ambition implies that management expects SG&A leverage and productivity gains from scale to drive margin expansion beyond the maintained 65% gross profit floor.
2026 Outlook and Corporate Updates
For the full year 2026, On reiterates its outlook for constant currency net sales growth in the low-20% range. The company expects a gross profit margin of at least 65.0% and an adjusted EBITDA margin between 19.5% and 20.0%. These figures exclude the benefit of tariff refunds, with up to $65 million (up to CHF 53 million) expected in the third quarter of 2026.
For Q3 2026 specifically, On anticipates constant currency net sales growth of around 17%, driven by disciplined wholesale sell-in execution and continued momentum in its Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) channel.
In corporate governance news, On appointed Laura Miele as Lead Independent Director, effective September 21, 2026. Miele, President of Enterprise Development at Electronic Arts, joins the role from the Audit Committee where she has served since 2024.
How will the planned expansion into Football and Golf categories impact On Holding's supply chain complexity and inventory management efficiency?
What specific competitive responses might Nike or Adidas deploy to counter On's aggressive DTC channel growth and premium positioning?
To what extent could persistent global trade tariffs threaten the sustainability of On's 65% gross profit margin target beyond the temporary $65 million refund benefit?






























