Elevance Health raises FY26 GAAP EPS guidance to over $22 vs $20.74 est

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Reviewed by
Ashish TScanX News Team
Key Highlights
  • Elevance Health raises FY26 GAAP diluted EPS guidance to more than $22.00
  • New GAAP EPS forecast beats the analyst estimate of $20.74
  • Adjusted diluted EPS guidance also raised to at least $29.00 vs $27.23 est
  • Q3FY26 operating revenue grew 0.7% YoY to $50.4 billion
  • Benefit expense ratio improved 70 bps YoY to 90.6%
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Elevance Health Inc reported third quarter 2026 results ahead of expectations, with operating revenue of $50.4 billion and adjusted diluted EPS of $6.99, prompting the company to raise its full-year 2026 guidance.

Consolidated financial highlights

For the three months ended September 30, 2026, total operating revenue rose 0.7% year over year, driven by higher premium yields, increased CarelonRx product revenue, and growth in service fees. This was partially offset by lower Medicare Advantage, Medicaid, and Employer Group risk membership. The following table summarises key consolidated metrics.

Metric Q3 2026 Q3 2025
Operating Revenue $50.4 billion $50.1 billion
Operating Gain $1.3 billion $1.3 billion
Adjusted Operating Gain $1.3 billion $1.3 billion
Operating Margin 2.5% 2.6%
Adjusted Operating Margin 2.7% 2.7%
Shareholders' Net Income $1,365 million $1,189 million
Diluted EPS $6.27 $5.32
Adjusted Diluted EPS $6.99 $6.03
Benefit Expense Ratio 90.6% 91.3%
Operating Expense Ratio 11.4% 10.5%
Adjusted Operating Expense Ratio 11.3% 10.4%

The benefit expense ratio of 90.6% improved 70 basis points year over year, driven by better performance in Medicare Advantage and Individual ACA. The adjusted operating expense ratio of 11.3% increased 90 basis points from the prior year, reflecting targeted one-time investments in capabilities and spending to advance business growth and quality initiatives.

Days in Claims Payable stood at 44.9 days as of September 30, 2026, an increase of 3.5 days year over year.

Segment performance

Elevance Health operates through two primary reportable segments: Health Benefits and Carelon.

Health Benefits

The Health Benefits segment encompasses Individual, Employer Group risk-based, Employer Group fee-based, BlueCard®, Medicare, Medicaid, and Federal Employee Program businesses.

Metric Q3 2026 Q3 2025
Operating Revenue $43.4 billion $42.2 billion
Operating Gain $0.4 billion $0.6 billion
Operating Margin 1.0% 1.4%

Health Benefits segment operating revenue was $43.4 billion in the third quarter of 2026, an increase of $1.1 billion, or 3%, compared to the prior year quarter. Growth was driven primarily by higher premium yields and service fee revenue, partially offset by lower Medicare Advantage, Medicaid, and Employer Group risk membership. Operating gain was $0.4 billion, a decline year over year, reflecting the impact of targeted investments to support the long-term operating model, partially offset by improvement in the benefit expense ratio.

Medical membership of approximately 44.9 million as of September 30, 2026 decreased by 487 thousand compared to the prior year. The decline reflected lower enrollment in Medicaid, Medicare Advantage, and Employer Group risk-based businesses, partially offset by growth in Commercial fee-based membership.

Carelon

Carelon is comprised of CarelonRx and Carelon Services.

Metric Q3 2026 Q3 2025
Operating Revenue $19.3 billion $18.3 billion
Operating Gain $0.9 billion $0.8 billion
Operating Margin 4.7% 4.2%

Carelon operating revenue was $19.3 billion in the third quarter of 2026, an increase of $1.0 billion, or 5%, compared to the prior year quarter. Growth was driven by CarelonRx product revenue and continued expansion of Carelon Services risk-based solutions. Operating gain totalled $0.9 billion, an increase of 17% year over year, reflecting strong performance of Carelon Services risk-based solutions and improved profitability of the specialty pharmacy.

Cash flow and balance sheet

Operating cash flow of $1.3 billion in the quarter increased $0.1 billion relative to the prior year, primarily reflecting favorable working capital dynamics. As of September 30, 2026, cash and investments at the parent company totalled approximately $2.4 billion. Total assets stood at $127,801 million as of September 30, 2026, compared to $121,494 million as of December 31, 2025.

During the third quarter of 2026, the company repurchased 0.8 million shares of its common stock for $330 million, at a weighted average price of $398.75 per share, and paid a quarterly dividend of $1.72 per share, representing a cash distribution totalling $373 million. As of September 30, 2026, the company had approximately $5.0 billion of Board-approved share repurchase authorization remaining.

FY26 guidance raised

On the back of continued operating momentum, Elevance Health raised its full-year 2026 guidance across key metrics. The new adjusted diluted EPS outlook of at least $29.00 exceeds the analyst estimate of $27.23. Additionally, the company now expects GAAP diluted EPS to be more than $22.00, surpassing the consensus estimate of $20.74.

Guidance Metric FY26 Outlook
Diluted EPS (GAAP) More than $22.00
Adjusted Diluted EPS At least $29.00
Operating Cash Flow At least $6.5 billion

Quarterly dividend declared

On October 20, 2026, the Audit Committee of the company's Board of Directors declared a fourth quarter 2026 dividend of $1.72 per share to shareholders. The fourth quarter dividend is payable on December 18, 2026 to shareholders of record at the close of business on December 4, 2026.

Disclaimer: This article is AI-generated using data from ViewTrade. ScanX is not liable for any inaccuracies.

How will the continued decline in Medicare Advantage and Medicaid membership impact Elevance's long-term revenue stability and market share strategy?

What specific regulatory or competitive factors are driving the shift toward CarelonRx growth, and can this segment sustain its 17% operating gain increase?

Will the 90 basis point increase in the adjusted operating expense ratio prove temporary, or does it signal a permanent structural change in Elevance's cost base?

Elevance Health reaffirms FY26 EPS guidance, shares rise 5%

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Reviewed by
Anirudha BScanX News Team
Key Highlights
  • Elevance Health reaffirmed FY26 adjusted EPS floor of $20.10, below $20.26 consensus
  • Underlying adjusted earnings projected above $27.00, beating $26.91 estimate
  • Benefit expense ratio target held at 90.2% with 0.5% tolerance
  • Shares rose 5.42% to $418.41 amid positive technical setup
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Elevance Health Inc (NYSE: ELV) shares rose 5.42% to $418.41 on Thursday after the company reaffirmed its full-year 2026 earnings guidance ahead of upcoming investor meetings.

The healthcare insurer maintained its adjusted earnings floor of $20.10 per diluted share for FY26. This figure incorporates approximately $6.90 per share in unfavorable one-time items. Excluding these charges, Elevance projects underlying adjusted earnings will exceed $27.00 per diluted share, surpassing the consensus estimate of $26.91.

Guidance and Operational Metrics

The company’s profit outlook does not include additional adjustments beyond those flagged in its second-quarter 2026 results. Elevance also kept its benefit expense ratio target at 90.2%, allowing for a variance of half a percentage point in either direction. This metric tracks the portion of premium revenue consumed by medical costs.

Metric FY26 Guidance Consensus Estimate Note
Adjusted EPS Floor $20.10 $20.26 Includes ~$6.90 one-time items
Underlying Adjusted EPS >$27.00 $26.91 Excludes one-time items
Benefit Expense Ratio 90.2% N/A +/- 0.5% tolerance

What the Numbers Show

The divergence between the reported adjusted earnings floor ($20.10) and the underlying earnings projection (> $27.00) highlights the significant impact of non-recurring costs on reported profitability. With one-time items accounting for roughly 25% of the underlying earnings value, investors are effectively pricing in a substantial recovery once these specific charges cease, rather than relying solely on operational margin expansion within the core business.

Technical Outlook

Technically, Elevance shares trade above all major moving averages, sitting roughly 4% above the 20-day mark and nearly 16% above the 200-day line. A golden cross formed in May when the 50-day average crossed above the 200-day, signaling longer-term bullish momentum. The stock has gained over 36% over the trailing year.

Resistance is identified at $436, just below the 52-week peak of $436.24. Support levels align near $391, corresponding with the 100-day moving average at $391.14. Momentum indicators, including the MACD, suggest strengthening buyer conviction as sellers fade.

Disclaimer: This article is AI-generated using data from ViewTrade. ScanX is not liable for any inaccuracies.

How might the resolution of the $6.90 per share in one-time items impact Elevance's valuation multiples compared to peers in the next fiscal year?

What specific operational strategies is Elevance employing to maintain its 90.2% benefit expense ratio target amidst rising medical cost inflation?

Could the stock face selling pressure if it fails to break through the $436 resistance level near its 52-week high?

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