Broadcom Q3FY26 earnings preview: AI revenue to exceed $16B
- Broadcom reports Q3FY26 earnings on Sept 2 with EPS estimated at $3.24
- Revenue projected at $29.36 billion, driven by $16 billion in AI sales
- Shares fell 12.6% after last beat due to unchanged AI growth target
- Stock trades below key moving averages despite intact golden cross

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO) is scheduled to report third-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings on Sept. 2 after market close. The report comes after a sharp selloff last quarter despite an earnings beat.
Earnings Preview & History
Analysts estimate earnings per share of $3.24 and revenue of $29.36 billion. The company’s previous quarter saw EPS of $2.44, beating consensus, alongside revenue of $22.19 billion. However, shares fell 12.6% following that report due to management's decision not to raise its long-term AI target.
| Metric | Q3 FY26 Estimate | Q2 FY26 Actual |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $29.36 billion | $22.19 billion |
| EPS | $3.24 | $2.44 |
What the Numbers Show
AI semiconductor revenue is projected to reach $16 billion for the quarter. This figure accounts for more than half of the expected total revenue of $29.36 billion. The growth rate for this segment exceeds 200% year-over-year. This concentration highlights the dependency of overall revenue performance on AI chip demand.
Key Metrics to Watch
Investors will track updates on the long-standing full-year 2027 AI semiconductor target of "in excess of $100 billion". Management’s decision not to raise this target last quarter contributed to a sharp selloff despite a beat. Commentary on AI bookings and backlog visibility will also be critical. The backlog stood above $30 billion entering the quarter.
Margin trends amid a shifting customer mix will offer signals on how sustainably AI growth translates into profitability. Any deviation from the estimated EPS of $3.24 could trigger volatility given the high expectations set by prior beats.
Technical Setup
Broadcom shares are consolidating with a mixed moving-average structure. The stock trades 9.1% below the 20-day SMA ($393.63) and 7.7% below the 50-day SMA ($387.46). It is also 3.1% below the 200-day SMA ($369.22).
The golden cross remains technically intact as the 50-day SMA stays above the 200-day SMA. However, price action below these averages suggests buyers need to reclaim them to reassert the uptrend narrative. Momentum indicators show fading upside pressure, with MACD below its signal line and a negative histogram.
- Key Resistance: $407.50
- Key Support: $356.50
At the time of publication, Broadcom shares were trading 0.12% lower at $356.30.
Will Broadcom management raise its long-term AI semiconductor revenue target above $100 billion to address investor concerns about growth sustainability?
How might the high concentration of AI revenue (over 50% of total) impact Broadcom's resilience if demand from major hyperscalers slows down in FY27?
What specific margin pressures could arise from the shifting customer mix, and will they offset the profitability gains from AI chip sales?
































