Broadcom CEO: AI revenue to hit $230 billion by 2028, power is bottleneck

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Key Highlights
  • Broadcom CEO Hock Tan projects AI revenue to reach $115 billion in 2027 and double to $230 billion in 2028
  • Power availability and data center readiness are cited as primary constraints, outweighing semiconductor supply issues
  • Free cash flow is expected to be in the mid-$40 billion range in 2027, supporting potential capital returns
  • The company has a long-term agreement to supply Google with TPUs and networking products through 2031
  • A new infrastructure financing vehicle with Apollo and Blackstone offers $35 billion for over 20 gigawatts of compute capacity
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Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO) stock was little changed in Wednesday’s premarket session as investors weighed a softer broader market against CEO Hock Tan’s bullish long-term outlook for artificial intelligence demand. Nasdaq futures fell 0.16%, while S&P 500 futures slipped 0.09%.

Tan outlined the opportunity at the Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference. He highlighted custom silicon, deep hyperscaler partnerships and rising infrastructure spending as key growth drivers. However, he also warned that power availability and data center readiness could constrain expansion.

Broadcom Sees AI Revenue Doubling

Tan said Broadcom expects AI revenue to reach $115 billion in 2027 and double to $230 billion in 2028. Importantly, he said those forecasts are constrained more by infrastructure availability than customer demand.

Tan said Broadcom can largely secure critical chip supplies, including wafers, memory and substrates, making semiconductor constraints more predictable. However, power-ready sites are emerging as the bigger uncertainty, with electricity availability, transformers, permitting and construction timelines threatening to limit how quickly AI data centers can come online.

Customers must prepare power sites well in advance to support capacity planned for 2028, he said.

The AI boom could also fuel significant cash generation. Broadcom expects free cash flow in the mid-$40 billion range in 2027, with further growth expected in 2028.

Custom Silicon Drives AI Expansion

Custom silicon sits at the center of Broadcom’s AI strategy. Broadcom works closely with six frontier-model developers on custom XPU accelerators. OpenAI, Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL) unit Google and Anthropic are among its customers.

Tan said close collaboration allows Broadcom to design chips around each customer’s models and workloads. For example, Broadcom delivered its Jalapeño ASIC sample to OpenAI within nine months. The companies are now working on the next two generations.

Broadcom previously signed an agreement to supply OpenAI with 10 gigawatts of custom silicon capacity.

Google Partnership Extends Through 2031

Tan also highlighted Broadcom’s decade-long relationship with Google, which began with the first generation of its tensor processing units. Broadcom has a long-term agreement to supply Google with TPUs and networking products through 2031.

Tan said Broadcom’s semiconductor design expertise, high-speed interconnect technology, multi-die integration and advanced packaging give it an advantage as customers look beyond traditional Moore’s Law scaling.

Financing Helps Customers Expand Compute

Broadcom is also helping address the massive capital requirements behind the AI buildout. The company partnered with Apollo Global Management Inc. (NYSE: APO) and Blackstone Inc. (NYSE: BX) on an infrastructure financing vehicle. The structure provides an initial $35 billion in financing for more than 20 gigawatts of compute capacity.

Tan said Broadcom provides residual guarantees on equipment rather than directly financing customer demand. Meanwhile, rising cash generation could give Broadcom more flexibility to return capital to shareholders. Tan said higher dividends or share buybacks could be considered when the board reviews capital allocation in December.

For investors, that long-term AI opportunity now sits against a more cautious near-term technical picture.

Technical Analysis

Broadcom is $7.17 below its 20-day simple moving average of $375.63 and $15.27 below its 50-day SMA of $383.73. That keeps the intermediate trend under pressure.

However, the stock is just $1.51 below its 200-day SMA of $369.97. That puts Broadcom near a key long-term trend level. Holding or reclaiming the 200-day SMA could strengthen the bullish case, while a decisive break below it could signal further weakness.

Broadcom’s relative strength index stands at 46.14. That points to neutral-to-slightly bearish momentum. It also means the stock is not yet oversold.

Meanwhile, the 20-day SMA remains below the 50-day SMA, signaling near-term weakness. However, the 50-day SMA remains above the 200-day SMA. As a result, the golden cross formed in April remains intact.

Key resistance sits near $376.50, close to the 20-day SMA. Support is around $358 if selling pressure increases.

Analyst Outlook

Broadcom trades at a price-to-earnings multiple of about 47 times. Analysts have a consensus Buy rating and an average price forecast of $521.32.

Citigroup maintained a Buy rating and raised its price forecast to $515 on Sept. 4. DA Davidson maintained a Neutral rating and lowered its forecast to $350 the same day. Macquarie upgraded Broadcom to Outperform with a $490 price forecast on Sept. 3.

Price Action

Broadcom shares slipped 0.03% to $368.46 in Wednesday’s premarket trading, according to Benzinga Pro data.

How might the bottleneck in power infrastructure and permitting timelines impact Broadcom's ability to meet its $230 billion AI revenue target by 2028?

What are the competitive implications for Nvidia and other chipmakers as Broadcom deepens its exclusive custom silicon partnerships with hyperscalers like Google and OpenAI?

Could the new $35 billion financing vehicle with Apollo and Blackstone create conflicts of interest or alter the risk profile for Broadcom's hyperscaler customers?

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Broadcom CEO locks chip supply for 2027, secures 2028

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Reviewed by
Anirudha BScanX News Team
Key Highlights
  • Broadcom CEO Hock Tan confirmed chip supply is locked for 2027
  • The company is currently in the process of securing supply for 2028
  • Remarks were made at the Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference
  • The update underscores Broadcom's focus on long-term capacity planning
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Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ: AVGO) has secured its chip supply chain for 2027 and is actively working to lock in supply for 2028. The update came from Chief Executive Officer Hock Tan during his address at the Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference.

Supply Chain Outlook

Tan’s comments highlight Broadcom’s proactive approach to managing component availability amid sustained demand for its networking and custom silicon products. By confirming secured supply for 2027, the company signals confidence in its manufacturing partnerships and capacity planning for the near term.

The ongoing efforts to secure 2028 supply suggest that Broadcom anticipates continued strong demand beyond the current year. This forward-looking stance is critical for a semiconductor giant that relies on complex global foundry networks to meet customer requirements.

What the Numbers Show

While no specific financial figures were disclosed in this brief update, the strategic confirmation of supply through 2027 provides a foundational layer of operational certainty. This allows investors to view near-term revenue projections with greater confidence regarding input availability, separating supply-side risks from demand-side variables for the upcoming fiscal periods.

Which specific foundry partners is Broadcom prioritizing to secure its 2028 chip supply, and how might this affect their capacity allocation for other clients?

How does Broadcom's long-term supply security strategy position it against competitors like NVIDIA and Marvell in the custom AI silicon market?

What are the potential risks to Broadcom's 2027-2028 supply chain if geopolitical tensions or trade restrictions disrupt global semiconductor manufacturing hubs?

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