Arcus study links EPO suppression to kidney cancer survival
Arcus Biosciences announced a publication in Nature detailing ARC-20 study results where casdatifan monotherapy showed a median PFS of 12.2 months in heavily pretreated metastatic ccRCC patients. The study established a correlation between deep serum EPO suppression and improved clinical outcomes, with a manageable safety profile. Arcus is currently enrolling the Phase 3 PEAK-1 study.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Arcus Biosciences announced a publication in Nature describing new research from the ARC-20 study evaluating casdatifan, an investigational HIF-2a inhibitor, as a monotherapy in patients with metastatic clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC). The study is the first to comprehensively describe the relationship between HIF-2a inhibitor-associated changes in circulating serum erythropoietin (EPO), tumor biology and corresponding clinical activity. The findings indicate that deeper suppression of HIF-2a-associated production of serum EPO correlated with clinical benefit, including higher response rates and longer progression-free survival (PFS).
"This is the first study to comprehensively assess the relationship between HIF-2a inhibitor-associated suppression of serum EPO production with tumor biology and clinical outcomes," said Toni K. Choueiri, M.D., director of the Lank Center for Genitourinary (GU) Oncology at Dana-Farber Cancer Institute and lead investigator of ARC-20. "Patients treated with casdatifan had a median progression-free survival of over one year despite half of patients having progressed on three or more prior treatments."
Clinical Efficacy Results
A pooled analysis from four monotherapy cohorts (n=121) of the ARC-20 study showed that advanced kidney cancer patients treated with casdatifan lived beyond a year without cancer progression (median PFS of 12.2 months). The patient population was heavily pretreated; more than half (55%) of patients received at least three prior lines of therapy, and more than one quarter (29%) had received at least four prior lines of therapy. Most patients (71%) had an International Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma Database Consortium (IMDC) risk factor of intermediate or poor.
At the time of the data cutoff (DCO, August 15, 2025), casdatifan produced durable antitumor activity. In the 100mg QD tablet cohort, the confirmed objective response rate (cORR) was 35% and median PFS had not yet been reached, with 60% of patients remaining progression-free at 12 months. In a later analysis with a January 30, 2026 DCO, median PFS was 15.1 months in the 100mg QD cohort, the same dose and formulation being used in the ongoing PEAK-1 Phase 3 study.
| 100mg QD Tablet (Phase 3 dose) (n=31) | Pooled Analysis (50mg BID, 50mg QD, 100mg QD, 150mg QD) (n=121) | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficacy | ||
| Median Follow-Up | 12.4 months | 15.5 months |
| Median PFS [95% CI] | Not estimable [5.7,NE] | 12.2 months [9.4,20.6] |
| 12-month PFS [95% CI] | 60% [40,75] | 50% [41,59] |
| 6-month PFS [95% CI] | 67% [48,81] | 63% [54,71] |
| Confirmed ORR [95% CI] | 35% (11) [19,55] | 31% (38) [23,40] |
| Confirmed BOR: CR | 0 | <1% (1) |
| Confirmed BOR: PR | 35% (11) | 31% (37) |
| Confirmed BOR: SD | 48% (15) | 50% (60) |
| Confirmed BOR: PD | 10% (3) | 17% (21) |
| Median Time to Response | 2.6 months | 2.8 months |
| Disease Control Rate [95% CI] | 84% (26) [66,95] | 81% (98) [73,88] |
Safety Profile
At the time of the August 2025 DCO, no unexpected safety signals were observed, and casdatifan had an acceptable and manageable safety profile across all doses. The most common class-effect events were anemia and hypoxia; across all four cohorts, no patients discontinued treatment due to anemia, and three patients (2%) discontinued due to hypoxia.
| 100mg QD Tablet (Phase 3 Dose) (n=32) | Pooled Analysis (50mg BID, 50mg QD, 100mg QD, 150mg QD) (n=127) | |
|---|---|---|
| Safety | ||
| Any Serious TEAEs | 31% (10) | 31% (39) |
| Grade ≥3 TEAEs related to casdatifan: Anemia | 25% (8) | 41% (52) |
| Grade ≥3 TEAEs related to casdatifan: Hypoxia | 9% (3) | 11% (14) |
| TEAEs resulting in discontinuation | 9% (3) | 9% (11) |
| Discontinuation due to Anemia | 0 | 0% (0) |
| Discontinuation due to Hypoxia | 3% (1) | 2% (3) |
Development Strategy
"The comprehensive translational work published in Nature validates EPO as a biomarker for HIF-2a suppression and correlates dramatic and sustained EPO suppression to durable response with monotherapy casdatifan," said Richard Markus, M.D., Ph.D., chief medical officer at Arcus Biosciences. "We believe this new research provides unambiguous evidence that casdatifan is a best-in-class HIF-2a inhibitor."
Arcus is enrolling PEAK-1, the global Phase 3 study evaluating casdatifan plus cabozantinib versus cabozantinib in IO-experienced patients with metastatic ccRCC. The company expects to complete enrollment in PEAK-1 and to initiate a Phase 3 study in the first-line metastatic ccRCC setting by year-end 2026. Casdatifan is an investigational molecule and has not received approval from any regulatory authority.
How will the competitive landscape for HIF-2a inhibitors evolve if casdatifan demonstrates superior efficacy in the ongoing PEAK-1 Phase 3 study?
What regulatory hurdles might Arcus face given the high incidence of Grade ≥3 anemia observed in the pooled safety analysis?
Could the correlation between EPO suppression and clinical benefit enable casdatifan to capture market share in biomarker-selected patient populations?


























