Alcoa cuts alumina outlook on Pinjarra issues, Q2 revenue hits record
Alcoa Corporation achieved record revenue of $3.97 billion in Q2 2026, driven by higher aluminum prices and shipments, though adjusted EPS of $2.12 missed analyst expectations. The Aluminum segment posted record adjusted EBITDA of $1.1 billion, while the Alumina segment faced headwinds from operational issues at the Pinjarra refinery, leading Alcoa to lower its full-year alumina production and shipment guidance.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Alcoa Corporation reported record second-quarter 2026 revenue of $3.97 billion, a 24% sequential increase, while lowering its annual alumina production outlook due to operational challenges at its Pinjarra refinery in Australia. The company missed earnings expectations with adjusted EPS of $2.12, falling short of the Street estimate of $2.25, despite revenue beating the analyst consensus of $3.94 billion. Operational performance was mixed, with the Aluminum segment achieving record adjusted EBITDA, while the Alumina segment faced higher costs and lower production.
Q2 2026 Financial Highlights
Alcoa achieved record quarterly revenue driven by higher aluminum shipments and increased average realized prices. Adjusted EBITDA excluding special items rose $306 million sequentially to $901 million, supported by stronger aluminum prices, higher shipments, and improved product mix. Special items for the quarter included a mark-to-market loss on Ma'aden shares of $123 million and losses on energy contracts of $45 million.
| Metric ($ millions, except per share): | 2Q26 | 1Q26 | 2Q25 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue: | $3,966 | $3,193 | $3,018 |
| Net income attributable to Alcoa: | $407 | $425 | $164 |
| Earnings per common share (diluted): | $1.53 | $1.60 | $0.62 |
| Adjusted net income attributable to Alcoa: | $562 | $373 | $103 |
| Adjusted EPS (diluted): | $2.12 | $1.40 | $0.39 |
| Adjusted EBITDA excl. special items: | $901 | $595 | $313 |
Segment Performance
In the Aluminum segment, revenue rose 31% sequentially to $3.3 billion, driven by higher shipments, stronger average realized prices, and improved value-added product premiums. Shipments increased by 113,000 metric tons sequentially to 726,000 metric tons. The segment delivered record adjusted EBITDA of $1.1 billion and an EBITDA margin of 32.3%, benefiting from higher LME prices, regional premiums, and solid demand in North America and Europe. Production increased by 30,000 metric tons sequentially, aided by the restart of the San Ciprián smelter in Spain and progress at the Alumar smelter in Brazil.
In the Alumina segment, revenue declined 3% sequentially to $637 million, primarily due to lower bauxite offtake, reduced supply agreement volumes, and operational challenges at the Pinjarra refinery. Adjusted EBITDA decreased $56 million sequentially, impacted by higher production costs, lower cost absorption, and increased fuel oil and diesel expenses. Production decreased 6% sequentially to 2.2 million metric tons, while third-party shipments remained flat at 1.6 million metric tons.
2026 Outlook
Alcoa reduced its 2026 alumina production projection to a range of 9.5–9.6 million metric tons, a decrease of 0.2–0.3 million metric tons from prior guidance, primarily due to instability and gas supply disruptions at the Pinjarra refinery. The 2026 alumina shipments projection was also lowered to 11.5–11.6 million metric tons. Total Aluminum segment production and shipments projections remain unchanged at 2.4–2.6 million metric tons and 2.6–2.8 million metric tons, respectively. For the third quarter of 2026, the company expects alumina segment performance to improve by approximately $10 million, while the aluminum segment is projected to remain broadly stable. Section 232 tariff costs on U.S. imports of aluminum from Canada are expected to decrease by approximately $10 million.
What is the estimated timeline for resolving the gas supply disruptions and instability at the Pinjarra refinery?
How will the reduced alumina production outlook impact Alcoa's ability to meet third-party supply agreements in the second half of 2026?
Will the operational challenges at the Pinjarra refinery lead to a permanent increase in production costs for the Alumina segment?

































