Rain Industries Shares Surge 45% in One Month on Earnings Recovery and Attractive Valuations
Rain Industries shares have surged 45% in the past month driven by strong earnings recovery, with EBITDA improving from ₹380 crore in Q1CY25 to ₹627 crore in Q3CY25. The stock trades at attractive valuations of 0.7x book value and 5x EV/EBITDA, while the company focuses on debt refinancing with net debt at $801 million. Institutional participation has increased significantly, with ICICI Prudential raising its holding to 4.09% from nil in September 2023.

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Rain Industries has delivered impressive returns to investors with shares surging nearly 45% over the past month, though the stock continues to trade approximately 20% below its 52-week high. The company operates as a key supplier in the aluminium value chain, producing calcined petroleum coke (CPC) and coal tar pitch, which serve as essential inputs for aluminium production.
Strong Earnings Recovery Drives Performance
The company's financial performance has shown remarkable improvement throughout the current year, with EBITDA demonstrating consistent quarterly growth:
| Quarter | EBITDA | Growth Trend |
|---|---|---|
| Q1CY25 | ₹380 crore | Base |
| Q3CY25 | ₹627 crore | +65% increase |
This recovery comes after a challenging period where annual EBITDA experienced significant volatility, falling from ₹3,537 crore in 2022 to ₹933 crore in 2023, before recovering to ₹1,274 crore in 2024.
Attractive Valuation Metrics
The stock presents compelling valuation opportunities for investors, trading at attractive multiples that suggest potential upside:
| Valuation Metric | Current Level |
|---|---|
| Price-to-Book Value | 0.7x |
| EV/EBITDA | 5x |
Additionally, the company's cement business, while contributing less than 10% of total revenue, carries significant hidden value with an estimated replacement cost of ₹3,500-4,000 crore.
Key Financial Challenges and Opportunities
Debt management remains a critical focus area for the company. As of September 2025, Rain Industries reported net debt of $801 million, with interest costs showing a gradual increase each quarter, reaching ₹237 crore. Management has indicated its readiness to optimize interest costs, stating they are "staying prepared and watching the markets closely for an opportunity to optimise interest cost."
The company has identified several growth drivers including CPC spreads during strong aluminium cycles and the expansion of its advanced materials business, which now represents 20% of the revenue mix.
Increasing Institutional Interest
Institutional participation has grown substantially, reflecting increased confidence in the company's prospects. ICICI Prudential has significantly expanded its position across various schemes, increasing its holding from nil in September 2023 to 4.09% in September 2025.
The combination of recovering earnings, attractive valuations, and growing institutional interest positions Rain Industries as an indirect beneficiary of the rising aluminium cycle, making it an interesting proposition for investors seeking exposure to the metals and mining sector.
Historical Stock Returns for Rain Industries
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -3.15% | +2.54% | +42.75% | +0.13% | -10.71% | +5.46% |









































