JSW Steel Outlines FY26 Strategy and Expects Significant Decline in Chinese Steel Production

1 min read     Updated on 20 Oct 2025, 09:09 AM
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Reviewed by
Radhika SahaniScanX News Team
Overview

JSW Steel has announced its strategic plans for FY26, including an annual capital expenditure of INR 20,000 crore and a target to keep net debt to EBITDA below 3X. The company anticipates a decline in iron ore prices in Q3, a rise in steel prices in Nov-Dec 2025, and a slight increase in coking coal costs. JSW Steel also projects a 30-35 million ton reduction in Chinese steel output by 2026. Morgan Stanley maintains an 'Overweight' rating on JSW Steel with a price target of Rs 1,300.

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*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.

JSW Steel , one of India's leading steel producers, has reaffirmed its commitment to growth and financial stability in its recent management update. The company has outlined its strategic plans for the fiscal year 2026 (FY26), focusing on sales targets, capital expenditure, and financial health. Additionally, JSW Steel anticipates a substantial reduction in Chinese steel output by 2026.

Key Highlights

Aspect Details
Annual Capital Expenditure INR 20,000.00 crore
Net Debt to EBITDA Target Below 3X
Iron Ore Price Expectation (Q3) Decline
Steel Price Projection (Nov-Dec 2025) Rise
Coking Coal Cost Expectation (Q3) Increase by $3.00-5.00 per tonne
Expected Reduction in Chinese Steel Output by 2026 30.00-35.00 million tons

Capital Expenditure and Financial Health

JSW Steel's management has confirmed a substantial annual capital spending plan of approximately INR 20,000.00 crore. This significant investment underscores the company's commitment to expansion and modernization of its facilities.

In terms of financial health, the company aims to maintain its net debt to EBITDA ratio below 3X. This target reflects JSW Steel's focus on balancing growth with financial prudence, ensuring a stable financial position as it pursues its expansion plans.

Market Outlook

The management has provided insights into expected market trends:

  • Iron Ore: Prices are anticipated to decline in the third quarter, potentially easing input costs for the company.
  • Steel Prices: Projections indicate a rise in steel prices during November-December 2025, which could positively impact the company's revenue.
  • Coking Coal: Costs are expected to increase by $3.00-5.00 per tonne in the third quarter, a factor that could affect production expenses.

Chinese Steel Production Forecast

JSW Steel anticipates a substantial reduction of 30.00-35.00 million tons in Chinese steel output by 2026. This projection suggests potential shifts in global steel market dynamics that could impact international steel producers and pricing. The expected decline in Chinese production may create opportunities for other global steel manufacturers, including JSW Steel, to potentially increase their market share or adjust their strategies accordingly.

Analyst Perspective

Morgan Stanley maintains an 'Overweight' rating on JSW Steel, with a price target of Rs 1,300.00. This positive outlook from a major financial services firm suggests confidence in JSW Steel's strategic direction and market position.

The company's clear articulation of its FY26 goals, coupled with its planned capital expenditure and financial targets, indicates a focused approach to growth and market leadership in the Indian steel sector. As global commodity markets continue to evolve, JSW Steel's strategies will be crucial in navigating the challenges and opportunities ahead, particularly in light of the expected changes in Chinese steel production.

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JSW Steel Announces 690 Billion Rupees Capital Expenditure Plan Amid Mixed Commodity Price Forecasts

2 min read     Updated on 17 Oct 2025, 03:03 PM
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Reviewed by
Ashish ThakurScanX News Team
Overview

JSW Steel has unveiled plans for a ₹690 billion capital expenditure over three years, starting from FY26. The company is consolidating its US operations under a single holding company and merging three Indian subsidiaries. Strong steel demand in India is expected, with 8-9% growth forecasted for the current fiscal year. Q2 FY26 saw impressive financial results, including a 307% YoY increase in net profit. The company also provided commodity price predictions for Q3, expecting iron ore prices to fall, steel prices to rise, and coking coal prices to increase slightly.

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*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.

JSW Steel , India's leading integrated steel company, has announced a strategic reorganization of its US operations and the merger of certain Indian subsidiaries, while also highlighting strong steel demand in India and unveiling a significant capital expenditure plan. Additionally, a JSW Steel executive has made price predictions for key commodities in the upcoming quarter.

Capital Expenditure Plans

JSW Steel has announced capital expenditure plans of approximately 690 billion rupees over the next three years. The investment program is set to begin in the second half of FY26, as stated by a company executive. This substantial investment underscores the company's commitment to growth and expansion in the coming years.

Strong Steel Demand in India

A JSW Steel executive has predicted that India's steel demand will grow by 8-9% during the current fiscal year. This forecast indicates expected expansion in the domestic steel market. The company views the current demand environment as robust, supported by government spending and steady consumption patterns.

Commodity Price Forecasts

A JSW Steel executive has provided price predictions for key commodities in the third quarter:

  • Iron ore prices are anticipated to decline in Q3.
  • Steel prices are expected to rise during November-December.
  • Coking coal prices are forecasted to increase by $3-5 per tonne in Q3.

US Operations Consolidation

The Board of Directors of JSW Steel has approved a plan to consolidate its US business operations under a single holding company in the United States. This restructuring involves the company's investments in multiple entities under Periama Holdings LLC and Acero Junction Holdings Inc.

The Baytown operations, which include plate and pipe mills in Texas and coking coal assets in West Virginia, are currently held through Periama, a wholly-owned subsidiary of JSW Steel (Netherlands) B.V. The Ohio steel manufacturing operations are housed under Acero.

Under the new structure, all US business operations will be consolidated into a single holding company in the US, which will be held by JSW Steel through JSW Steel (Netherlands) B.V. This reorganization is subject to regulatory and other approvals.

Merger of Indian Subsidiaries

JSW Steel's Board has approved a Scheme of Amalgamation for the merger of its wholly-owned subsidiaries - Amba River Coke Limited, Monnet Cement Limited, and JSW Retail and Distribution Limited - with the parent company. This merger, which is subject to regulatory and other approvals, is expected to bring operational efficiencies due to synergistic linkages between these companies.

Financial Performance Highlights

For the second quarter of FY2026 (Q2 FY26), JSW Steel reported robust consolidated performance:

Metric Q2 FY26 Value YoY Change
Crude Steel Production 7.90 +17%
Saleable Steel Sales 7.34 +20%
Revenue from Operations 45,152.00 +14%
Adjusted EBITDA 7,849.00 +39%
Net Profit after Tax 1,646.00 +307%

The company's Net Gearing (Net Debt to Equity) stood at 0.93x at the end of Q2 FY26, compared to 0.95x at the end of Q1 FY26. The Net Debt to EBITDA ratio improved to 2.97x from 3.20x in the previous quarter.

Operational Highlights

  • Consolidated Crude Steel Production reached a record high of 7.90 million tonnes in Q2 FY26.
  • Domestic sales increased by 14% YoY to 6.33 million tonnes.
  • Exports surged by 89% YoY, contributing 10% to sales from Indian operations.
  • Retail sales volumes grew by 26% YoY.

Strategic Developments

JSW Steel continues to focus on enhancing its downstream capacities and capabilities. The company has announced several projects, including:

  • A 1 MTPA EAF in Kadapa, Andhra Pradesh, targeted for completion by end-FY29.
  • Expansion of Cold Rolled Grain Oriented (CRGO) Electrical Steel capacity.
  • A 1 MTPA section mill at the Raigarh plant for structural steel production.

The company's consolidated capex spend during Q2 FY26 was ₹3,135 crores, with expectations to spend ₹20,000 crores during FY26.

Outlook

Despite global economic uncertainties, JSW Steel remains optimistic about India's economic growth. The Reserve Bank of India has revised its FY26 GDP growth forecast upward to 6.8%, supported by strong domestic demand and recent policy measures.

JSW Steel's strategic reorganization, continued focus on expansion and efficiency, coupled with the strong steel demand in India and the newly announced capital expenditure plan, are expected to strengthen its position in the global steel market and capitalize on India's growth trajectory.

Historical Stock Returns for JSW Steel

1 Day5 Days1 Month6 Months1 Year5 Years
+0.81%+0.47%+2.53%+9.12%+18.96%+272.42%
JSW Steel
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