JSW Steel Q2 Preview: Analysts Anticipate Margin Squeeze Despite Robust Demand
JSW Steel is set to release its Q2 FY24 results with analysts projecting a mixed performance. Despite a 2% YoY revenue increase to Rs 44,171 crore, profit is expected to decline by 21% to Rs 1,727 crore. EBITDA is forecasted to drop 8% with margins contracting by 184 bps. The company faces challenges from weaker steel price realizations, offsetting gains from robust domestic demand. Analysts from Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and Jefferies maintain positive ratings, while ICICI Securities holds a more cautious view. Key factors influencing performance include declining realizations, higher input costs, strong domestic demand, and ongoing capacity expansions.

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JSW Steel , one of India's leading steel producers, is set to release its second quarter financial results, with analysts projecting a mixed performance. The steelmaker is expected to face challenges in profitability despite strong domestic demand and steady volume growth.
Financial Projections
According to Bloomberg estimates, JSW Steel's Q2 FY24 performance is expected to show:
Metric | Q2 FY24 (Estimated) | YoY Change |
---|---|---|
Revenue | 44,171.00 | +2% |
Profit | 1,727.00 | -21% |
EBITDA | 6,938.00 | -8% |
EBITDA Margin | 15.71% | -184 bps |
The projected decline in profit and EBITDA, despite a marginal increase in revenue, points to potential pressure on the company's margins. Analysts attribute this to weaker steel price realizations, which are offsetting the gains from robust domestic demand.
Analyst Perspectives
Several prominent financial institutions have shared their outlook on JSW Steel:
Bank of America
- Rating: Buy
- Target Price: Rs 1,290
- Rationale: Stronger domestic demand and potential policy support through higher import tariffs
Morgan Stanley
- Rating: Overweight
- Target Price: Rs 1,156.80
- Expectation: Mid-teens year-on-year growth
Jefferies
- Rating: Buy
- Projection: 11% year-on-year net sales growth to Rs 43,900 crore
ICICI Securities
- Rating: Hold
- Target Price: Rs 1,010
- Stance: More cautious view compared to peers
Key Factors Influencing Performance
Declining Realizations: Analysts estimate a reduction of approximately Rs 3,000-3,500 per tonne quarter-on-quarter in steel price realizations.
Input Costs: Higher input costs are expected to impact profitability.
Domestic Demand: Strong domestic demand continues to provide support to the company's performance.
Capacity Additions: Ongoing capacity expansions are seen as a positive factor for future growth.
The mixed outlook for JSW Steel reflects the complex dynamics of the steel industry, where strong demand is being offset by pricing pressures and rising costs. Investors and market watchers will be keenly observing the actual results to gauge the company's ability to navigate these challenges and maintain its growth trajectory in the coming quarters.
Historical Stock Returns for JSW Steel
1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
+0.61% | -0.62% | +4.73% | +15.70% | +18.05% | +275.47% |