JSW Steel Q2 Preview: Analysts Anticipate Margin Squeeze Despite Robust Demand

1 min read     Updated on 16 Oct 2025, 10:17 AM
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Reviewed by
Riya DeyScanX News Team
Overview

JSW Steel is set to release its Q2 FY24 results with analysts projecting a mixed performance. Despite a 2% YoY revenue increase to Rs 44,171 crore, profit is expected to decline by 21% to Rs 1,727 crore. EBITDA is forecasted to drop 8% with margins contracting by 184 bps. The company faces challenges from weaker steel price realizations, offsetting gains from robust domestic demand. Analysts from Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and Jefferies maintain positive ratings, while ICICI Securities holds a more cautious view. Key factors influencing performance include declining realizations, higher input costs, strong domestic demand, and ongoing capacity expansions.

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*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.

JSW Steel , one of India's leading steel producers, is set to release its second quarter financial results, with analysts projecting a mixed performance. The steelmaker is expected to face challenges in profitability despite strong domestic demand and steady volume growth.

Financial Projections

According to Bloomberg estimates, JSW Steel's Q2 FY24 performance is expected to show:

Metric Q2 FY24 (Estimated) YoY Change
Revenue 44,171.00 +2%
Profit 1,727.00 -21%
EBITDA 6,938.00 -8%
EBITDA Margin 15.71% -184 bps

The projected decline in profit and EBITDA, despite a marginal increase in revenue, points to potential pressure on the company's margins. Analysts attribute this to weaker steel price realizations, which are offsetting the gains from robust domestic demand.

Analyst Perspectives

Several prominent financial institutions have shared their outlook on JSW Steel:

  1. Bank of America

    • Rating: Buy
    • Target Price: Rs 1,290
    • Rationale: Stronger domestic demand and potential policy support through higher import tariffs
  2. Morgan Stanley

    • Rating: Overweight
    • Target Price: Rs 1,156.80
    • Expectation: Mid-teens year-on-year growth
  3. Jefferies

    • Rating: Buy
    • Projection: 11% year-on-year net sales growth to Rs 43,900 crore
  4. ICICI Securities

    • Rating: Hold
    • Target Price: Rs 1,010
    • Stance: More cautious view compared to peers

Key Factors Influencing Performance

  1. Declining Realizations: Analysts estimate a reduction of approximately Rs 3,000-3,500 per tonne quarter-on-quarter in steel price realizations.

  2. Input Costs: Higher input costs are expected to impact profitability.

  3. Domestic Demand: Strong domestic demand continues to provide support to the company's performance.

  4. Capacity Additions: Ongoing capacity expansions are seen as a positive factor for future growth.

The mixed outlook for JSW Steel reflects the complex dynamics of the steel industry, where strong demand is being offset by pricing pressures and rising costs. Investors and market watchers will be keenly observing the actual results to gauge the company's ability to navigate these challenges and maintain its growth trajectory in the coming quarters.

Historical Stock Returns for JSW Steel

1 Day5 Days1 Month6 Months1 Year5 Years
+0.61%-0.62%+4.73%+15.70%+18.05%+275.47%
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JSW Steel Achieves Record Quarterly Crude Steel Production of 7.90 Million Tonnes in Q2 FY26

2 min read     Updated on 10 Oct 2025, 09:30 AM
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Reviewed by
Shriram ShekharScanX News Team
Overview

JSW Steel reported a record-breaking consolidated crude steel production of 7.90 million tonnes for Q2 FY26, marking a 17% year-over-year increase and a 9% quarter-over-quarter growth. The company operated at 92% capacity utilization. Indian operations produced 7.66 million tonnes, while JSW Steel USA – Ohio contributed 0.24 million tonnes. Key developments include the commissioning of JVML's second converter, bringing Indian operations' crude steel capacity to 34.2 MTPA, and the commencement of a planned upgrade for Blast Furnace 3 at Vijayanagar to increase hot metal capacity from 3 MTPA to 4.5 MTPA.

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*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.

JSW Steel , one of India's leading integrated steel companies, has reported a record-breaking quarterly crude steel production of 7.90 million tonnes for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026. This remarkable achievement underscores the company's robust operational performance and its growing prominence in the steel industry.

Production Highlights

  • Record Production: JSW Steel's consolidated crude steel production reached an all-time high of 7.90 million tonnes in Q2 FY26.
  • Year-over-Year Growth: Production increased by 17% compared to the same quarter in the previous fiscal year.
  • Quarter-over-Quarter Growth: A 9% increase from the preceding quarter (Q1 FY26).
  • Capacity Utilization: The company operated at an impressive 92% capacity utilization during the quarter.

Detailed Production Breakdown

Particulars Q2 FY26 Q1 FY26 Q2 FY25 QoQ Change YoY Change
Indian Operations 7.66 7.02 6.63 9% 16%
JSW Steel USA – Ohio 0.24 0.24 0.14 0% 71%
Consolidated Production 7.90 7.26 6.77 9% 17%

Production figures in million tonnes

Key Developments

  1. Capacity Expansion: JSW Steel's wholly-owned subsidiary, JVML, commissioned its second converter on August 30, 2025, bringing the overall Indian operations crude steel capacity to 34.2 MTPA.
  2. JVML Performance: The integrated 5 MTPA operations at JVML ramped up efficiently, achieving an 88% capacity utilization in September 2025.
  3. Vijayanagar Upgrade: A planned 150-day shutdown of Blast Furnace 3 at Vijayanagar commenced in late September 2025 to upgrade hot metal capacity from 3 MTPA to 4.5 MTPA.

Half-Year Performance

Particulars H1 FY26 H1 FY25 YoY Change
Indian Operations 14.69 12.75 15%
JSW Steel USA – Ohio 0.48 0.37 30%
Consolidated Production 15.16 13.12 16%

Production figures in million tonnes

JSW Steel's impressive performance in Q2 FY26 reflects its strategic focus on operational excellence and capacity expansion. The company's ability to achieve record production levels while maintaining high capacity utilization demonstrates its operational efficiency and strong market position. As JSW Steel continues to expand its capabilities and optimize its operations, it is well-positioned to meet the growing demand for steel in India and international markets.

The planned upgrades and expansions, such as the Vijayanagar Blast Furnace 3 enhancement, indicate JSW Steel's commitment to long-term growth and technological advancement. These initiatives are likely to further strengthen the company's production capabilities and market competitiveness in the coming quarters.

Historical Stock Returns for JSW Steel

1 Day5 Days1 Month6 Months1 Year5 Years
+0.61%-0.62%+4.73%+15.70%+18.05%+275.47%
JSW Steel
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