JSW Infra Shares Surge 7% Despite Volume Guidance Cut, Announces ₹9,000 Cr Capex
JSW Infrastructure shares gained 7% on Monday despite the company reducing its FY26 volume growth guidance from 8-10% to 5-6% due to lower volumes at Paradip terminals. The company unveiled ambitious growth plans including ₹9,000 crore capex investment through FY30, revenue projections reaching ₹11,650 crore by FY28, and EBITDA targets of ₹5,000 crore by FY28. Volume capacity is expected to grow from current 177 MTPA to 299 MTPA by FY28, maintaining the long-term target of 400 MTPA by FY30. Analysts remain bullish with 15 out of 17 analysts maintaining buy ratings and price targets up to ₹400.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
JSW Infrastructure shares are trading with gains of 7% on Monday, January 19, despite the company cutting its full-year volume growth guidance at the end of the third quarter. The stock is currently trading 6.60% higher at ₹274.60, reflecting investor confidence in the company's long-term growth strategy.
Revised Guidance and Volume Projections
JSW Infrastructure has adjusted its volume growth expectations for financial year 2026, now projecting growth between 5% to 6%, down from the earlier guidance of 8% to 10%. The revision comes as volume growth has been negatively impacted by lower volumes at the Paradip Iron Ore and Coal terminals.
| Parameter: | Current FY | FY26 | FY28 | FY30 Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volume Capacity: | 177 MTPA | - | 299 MTPA | 400 MTPA |
| Volume Growth Guidance: | - | 5-6% | - | - |
| Previous Guidance: | - | 8-10% | - | - |
Ambitious Financial Projections
Despite the near-term guidance adjustment, JSW Infrastructure has laid out robust growth plans for the next three years. The company intends to invest ₹9,000 crore as capex between financial year 2025 to financial year 2030, demonstrating its commitment to substantial infrastructure development.
| Financial Metric: | FY25 | FY26 | FY27 | FY28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue: | - | ₹5,400 cr | ₹7,020 cr | ₹11,650 cr |
| EBITDA: | ₹2,600 cr | ₹3,000 cr | - | ₹5,000 cr |
| Total Capex (FY25-30): | ₹9,000 cr | - | - | - |
Analyst Recommendations and Market Outlook
Brokerage firm Jefferies has maintained its "buy" rating on the stock and raised its price target to ₹360 from ₹355 earlier. The firm expects JSW Infrastructure's valuation premium to sustain with higher growth and scarcity premium to a certain extent.
JM Financial has also maintained its "buy" rating with a price target of ₹400 per share, noting that the company's low leverage provides sufficient room for capex. The firm indicated that support for further funding the capex may emerge despite the primary fund raise.
| Analyst Coverage: | Count |
|---|---|
| Total Analysts: | 17 |
| Buy Rating: | 15 |
| Hold Rating: | 1 |
| Sell Rating: | 1 |
| Highest Price Target: | ₹400 |
Long-term Capacity Expansion Strategy
The company's expansion strategy remains focused on significantly enhancing its operational capabilities in the marine port and services sector. Despite the near-term volume guidance cut, JSW Infrastructure sees volume capacity rising from 177 MTPA in the current financial year to 299 MTPA in financial year 2028, with the ultimate target of 400 MTPA by FY 2030.
This substantial capacity enhancement reflects the company's strategic approach to meet growing infrastructure demands and capitalize on increasing trade volumes, positioning it as a major player in India's port infrastructure development.
Historical Stock Returns for JSW Infrastructure
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1.73% | +0.83% | -0.93% | -12.64% | +8.88% | +66.50% |


































