IT Stocks Decline Ahead of Q3 Results as TCS Leads Losses; Nifty IT Index Falls Nearly 2%
Indian IT stocks declined broadly on Thursday ahead of Q3 earnings starting Monday, with the Nifty IT index falling nearly 2%. Nine of ten index stocks traded in red, led by Oracle Financial Services Software's 3% decline. TCS and Infosys contributed significantly to Nifty 50's downside, while brokerage firms Jefferies and CLSA expressed cautious sector outlooks citing potential earnings downgrades and soft Q3 results expectations.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Indian IT stocks faced broad-based selling pressure on Thursday, January 9, 2025, as investors turned cautious ahead of third-quarter earnings announcements scheduled to begin Monday, January 12. The sector's decline came after two consecutive sessions of gains, highlighting market nervousness around upcoming financial results.
Market Performance and Key Movers
The Nifty IT index bore the brunt of the selling, declining nearly 2.00% during Thursday's trading session. Nine of the ten constituent stocks traded in negative territory, with only HCLTech managing to buck the trend with a modest 0.70% gain.
| Stock | Performance | Change (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Oracle Financial Services | Top Loser | -3.00% |
| Persistent Systems | Decline | -0.60% to -2.80% range |
| LTIMindtree | Decline | -0.60% to -2.80% range |
| Infosys | Decline | -0.60% to -2.80% range |
| Tech Mahindra | Decline | -0.60% to -2.80% range |
| MPhasis | Decline | -0.60% to -2.80% range |
| TCS | Decline | -0.60% to -2.80% range |
| Wipro | Decline | -0.60% to -2.80% range |
| Coforge | Decline | -0.60% to -2.80% range |
| HCLTech | Gain | +0.70% |
TCS and Infosys emerged as significant contributors to the Nifty 50's downside around 2 PM on Thursday. TCS shares snapped a two-day gaining streak, with trading volumes reaching ₹1,100.00 crore during the session. Notably, 66% of TCS shares traded were marked for delivery, indicating long-term investor interest despite the decline.
Upcoming Earnings Calendar
Major IT companies are set to announce their third-quarter results starting Monday, January 12. The earnings calendar includes industry heavyweights TCS, Infosys, HCLTech, Tech Mahindra, and Wipro, making this a crucial week for sector performance and investor sentiment.
Brokerage Outlook and Analyst Views
Brokerage firms have expressed mixed to cautious views on the IT sector ahead of earnings. Jefferies highlighted potential risks, stating that Indian IT stocks face the possibility of earnings downgrades in financial year 2027, which could negatively impact price-to-earnings multiples.
Jefferies Top Picks:
- Largecap space: Infosys and HCLTech
- Midcap space: Coforge, Sagility, IKS, and MPhasis
The brokerage noted that midcap picks have potential for earnings per share growth at a compounded annual growth rate of 14% to 27% between FY26-28.
CLSA adopted a more cautious stance, recommending investors reduce IT positions following the recent rally. The firm expects third-quarter earnings to remain "highly soft" and made several rating changes:
| Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| HCLTech | Outperform | Hold | Downgraded |
| Tech Mahindra | High Conviction Outperform | Outperform | Downgraded |
| Tech Mahindra | Focus List | Removed | Removed from focus |
CLSA cited concerns about Tech Mahindra's revenue growth recovery over the past 18 months, noting it has been in line with expectations rather than exceeding them. Despite the downgrades, CLSA maintains preferences for Persistent Systems and Coforge in the midcap space, while Infosys and Tech Mahindra remain preferred largecap picks.
Market Context
The IT sector's decline reflects broader market caution as investors await quarterly results that could set the tone for the sector's near-term performance. With earnings season beginning Monday, market participants will closely monitor revenue growth, margin trends, and management commentary on demand outlook across key geographies and verticals.


























