India's Unemployment Rate Rises Marginally to 4.8% in December 2025

2 min read     Updated on 16 Jan 2026, 12:22 PM
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Reviewed by
Naman SScanX News Team
Overview

India's unemployment rate increased marginally to 4.8% in December 2025 from 4.7% in November, with urban areas experiencing higher joblessness at 6.7% while rural unemployment remained stable at 3.9%. The Worker Population Ratio improved to 53.4% and Labour Force Participation Rate reached 56.1%, indicating positive workforce engagement trends despite the slight uptick in unemployment.

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*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.

India's unemployment rate for persons aged 15 years and above experienced a marginal increase to 4.8% in December 2025, up from 4.7% in the preceding month, according to the latest Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS) released by the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation on January 15. The data reveals varying trends across rural and urban areas, with workforce participation showing encouraging signs of improvement.

Regional Unemployment Patterns

The unemployment landscape showed distinct regional variations during December 2025. Rural areas maintained stability with the unemployment rate remaining unchanged at 3.9%, while urban areas witnessed a modest increase.

Area December 2025 November 2025 Change
Overall 4.8% 4.7% +0.1%
Rural 3.9% 3.9% No change
Urban 6.7% 6.5% +0.2%

Among specific demographic groups, rural males aged 15 years and above maintained a low and stable unemployment rate of 4.1% in December 2025. Urban female unemployment showed improvement, moderating to 9.1% in December from 9.3% in November 2025.

Worker Population Ratio Shows Improvement

The Worker Population Ratio (WPR), which defines the proportion of employed individuals among the total population, demonstrated gradual improvement across several categories in December 2025.

Category December 2025 November 2025
Overall WPR 53.4% 53.2%
Rural Male WPR 76.0% 75.4%
Urban Male WPR 70.4% 70.9%
Overall Male WPR 74.1% -
Rural Female WPR 38.6% 38.4%
Urban Female WPR ~23.0% -
Overall Female WPR 33.6% 33.4%

Rural males showed the strongest performance with WPR increasing to 76.0% from 75.4%, while urban male WPR experienced a slight decline to 70.4% from 70.9% in November 2025.

Labour Force Participation Trends

The Labour Force Participation Rate (LFPR) among persons aged 15 years and above demonstrated an upward trajectory, reaching 56.1% in December 2025 compared to 55.8% in November.

LFPR Category December 2025 November 2025
Overall LFPR 56.1% 55.8%
Rural LFPR 59.0% 58.6%
Urban LFPR 50.2% 50.4%
Female LFPR (Overall) 35.3% 35.1%
Rural Female LFPR 40.1% 39.7%
Urban Female LFPR 25.3% 25.5%

Rural areas continued to show stronger labour force participation at 59.0%, while urban LFPR experienced a slight dip to 50.2%. Female labour force participation showed mixed results, with rural female LFPR continuing its gradual rise to 40.1% while urban female participation declined marginally.

Survey Methodology and Coverage

The December 2025 data represents the ninth bulletin in the monthly PLFS series, with estimates based on information collected from 3,73,990 persons surveyed at the all-India level. The Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation has revamped the sampling methodology since January 2025 to provide high-frequency labour force indicators with enhanced coverage. Monthly bulletins covering the period from April to November 2025 have already been released as part of this comprehensive labour market monitoring initiative.

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MoSPI Proposes Chain-Based Method for Index of Industrial Production Compilation

1 min read     Updated on 13 Jan 2026, 08:55 PM
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Reviewed by
Radhika SScanX News Team
Overview

MoSPI proposes shifting from fixed-base to chain-based methodology for Index of Industrial Production compilation to improve accuracy and capture dynamic industrial changes. The new approach allows annual weight adjustments versus static weights in traditional methods. Discussion Paper 2.0 has been prepared, with stakeholder feedback invited by January 25, 2026, from experts, government entities, and financial institutions to ensure comprehensive implementation.

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*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.

The Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) is proposing a fundamental shift in how India measures industrial production, moving from the traditional fixed-base method to a chain-based approach for compiling the Index of Industrial Production (IIP). This transition represents part of an ongoing comprehensive revision of macroeconomic data methodologies, involving consultation with experts, academicians, users, and various stakeholders.

Current Fixed-Base Method Limitations

The traditional IIP compilation relies on a fixed-base Laspeyres framework that maintains constant sectoral and industry weights until a base-year revision occurs. However, this approach faces significant challenges as economic conditions evolve:

  • Production patterns adapt to changing demand, technology, and policy developments
  • Some industries experience growth while others shrink or disappear entirely
  • New industries and production lines emerge regularly
  • Fixed weights become increasingly irrelevant over time, compromising index accuracy

Proposed Chain-Based Methodology Benefits

The chain-based method offers substantial improvements in capturing dynamic industrial changes:

Feature Fixed-Base Method Chain-Based Method
Weight Updates Only during base-year revisions Annual adjustments
Industry Relevance Decreases over time Maintains current relevance
Production Structure Static representation Dynamic reflection
Accuracy Diminishes between revisions Consistently maintained

This methodology enables annual weight adjustments to better reflect the current production structure, ensuring indices remain relevant and accurate as industries evolve. The approach captures shifts in production patterns more effectively, providing a more realistic representation of the economic landscape.

Stakeholder Engagement Process

MoSPI has prepared Discussion Paper 2.0: Adoption of Chain-Based Index of Industrial Production (IIP), which details the proposed methodology for chain-linked indices. The ministry is actively seeking comprehensive feedback from multiple stakeholder groups:

  • Experts and academicians
  • Central government ministries and departments
  • State governments
  • Financial institutions
  • Other relevant stakeholders

Feedback deadline: January 25, 2026

This collaborative approach ensures the new methodology addresses the needs and concerns of all involved parties before implementation.

Strategic Implications

The transition to a chain-based method represents a necessary evolution in industrial data measurement. By enabling regular updates in industry weights, this approach can better capture changes in production patterns and ensure indices accurately reflect current economic conditions. The shift aligns with international best practices and enhances the reliability of India's industrial production statistics for policy-making and economic analysis.

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