UBS Issues 'Buy' Call on BHEL with ₹375 Target After Major Order Win Despite Policy Concerns
UBS has issued a 'Buy' rating for BHEL with ₹375 target price, implying 35% upside despite recent selloff on policy concerns. The company secured a ₹5,400-crore coal gasification order, boosting FY26 inflows to 60% of expectations and marking first commercial deployment of proprietary PFBG technology. While shares crashed 9% on Thursday due to potential easing of Chinese company restrictions, BHEL remains up 28% year-over-year, outperforming broader markets.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd (BHEL) shares are set to be in focus following UBS's 'Buy' rating with a target price of ₹375 per share, despite a sharp selloff triggered by policy-related concerns. The brokerage's target implies over 35% upside from Thursday's closing level of ₹276.90, with the positive stance backed by strong recent order wins and improving execution visibility.
Major Order Win Drives Optimism
BHEL has secured a significant ₹5,400-crore coal gasification and raw syngas cleaning plant order, substantially boosting its FY26 order inflows to around 60% of full-year expectations. The order details are outlined below:
| Parameter: | Details |
|---|---|
| Order Value: | ₹5,400 crores |
| Project Type: | Coal gasification and raw syngas cleaning plant |
| Awarded By: | BCGCL (Coal India-BHEL joint venture) |
| Application: | Coal-to-ammonium-nitrate project |
| Technology: | BHEL's proprietary PFBG technology |
| Execution Period: | 42 months |
| O&M Tenure: | 60 months |
This order marks the first commercial deployment of BHEL's proprietary Pressurised Fluidised Bed Gasification (PFBG) technology, representing a significant shift from research and development to large-scale execution. UBS noted that the 42-month execution period combined with the 60-month operations and maintenance tenure strengthens the company's long-term revenue visibility.
Stock Performance Amid Policy Concerns
BHEL shares experienced significant volatility on Thursday, crashing nearly 9% and hitting a 10% lower circuit intraday. The selloff was triggered by a Reuters report indicating India is considering scrapping five-year-old restrictions on Chinese companies participating in government tenders.
| Metric: | Value |
|---|---|
| Thursday's Close: | ₹276.90 |
| Intraday Decline: | Nearly 9% |
| Circuit Hit: | 10% lower |
| One-Year Performance: | +28% |
| Nifty 50 (One Year): | ~10% |
| Market Cap: | ₹94,700 crores |
Despite the recent correction, BHEL remains up about 28% over the past year, significantly outperforming the Nifty 50's roughly 10% rise during the same period.
Broader Market Impact
The policy concerns triggered a broad selloff across capital-goods stocks on Thursday, with peers including Siemens, ABB India, and L&T also experiencing declines. Investor concerns center around potential intensified competition in large government contracts, particularly in power and railways sectors, if restrictions on Chinese bidders are eased.
UBS's Strategic Outlook
Looking beyond near-term policy uncertainty, UBS emphasized that BHEL's improving order book, technology differentiation, and execution pipeline position the company favorably after the recent decline. The brokerage highlighted the robust order momentum as a key positive factor, with the recent correction presenting an attractive entry opportunity for investors.
The ₹5,400-crore order win demonstrates BHEL's capability to secure large-scale projects and successfully commercialize its proprietary technologies, providing a foundation for sustained growth despite short-term market volatility.
Historical Stock Returns for Bharat Heavy Electricals
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +3.74% | +10.47% | -10.55% | +15.67% | +36.52% | +588.69% |
































