MCX Copper Gains 0.6% Despite Global Price Decline, Rupee Weakness Provides Support
MCX copper futures for September delivery increased by 0.6% to Rs 902.85 per kg, despite falling international prices. The rise was attributed to the weakening Indian rupee. Globally, copper prices declined on COMEX and LME. US economic growth was revised upward to 3.3% for Q2, while Chinese industrial profits showed a slower decline. Technically, copper is trading above key moving averages, with potential for further gains if it breaks above the Rs 900-905 range.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
MCX copper futures for September delivery showed resilience in the face of declining international prices, rising 0.6% to reach a daily high of Rs 902.85 per kg. This upward movement in domestic prices was primarily attributed to the weakening of the Indian rupee against the US dollar.
Global Copper Market Trends
In contrast to the domestic market, copper prices on the international stage experienced a downturn. On the COMEX, copper prices fell by nearly 1% to $4.50, while the London Metal Exchange (LME) saw a 0.2% decline, with prices settling at $9,884.00 per metric ton.
Economic Indicators
The copper market's performance comes against a backdrop of mixed economic signals:
- US Economic Growth: Revised data for the second quarter showed stronger-than-expected growth at 3.3%, up from the previously reported 3%. This uptick was driven by a substantial 5.7% jump in business investment.
- Chinese Industrial Profits: In China, a key consumer of copper, industrial profits fell at a slower pace in July compared to June. This deceleration in profit decline suggests that government efforts to stabilize the manufacturing sector may be starting to yield results.
Technical Analysis
Technical indicators for copper present a cautiously optimistic picture:
- Copper is currently trading near Rs 898.00, having recovered from a correction between Rs 917.00 and Rs 789.00.
- The price is positioned above both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, indicating short-term bullish momentum.
- A potential breakout above the Rs 900.00-905.00 range could target higher levels of Rs 915.00-927.00.
- However, it's worth noting that momentum indicators remain weak, suggesting caution.
Trading Strategy
For traders looking to capitalize on the current market conditions, the following strategy is suggested:
- Buy on Dips: Consider purchasing copper contracts on price dips near the Rs 889.00-892.00 range.
- Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below Rs 878.00 to manage risk.
- Target: Aim for a price target of Rs 915.00.
As always, traders should exercise caution and conduct their own research before making investment decisions, considering the volatile nature of commodity markets and the influence of global economic factors on copper prices.