Trump’s drone tariffs lift US defense stocks; Kratos, AeroVironment rise
New US tariffs on foreign drones range from 10% to 100%, aiming to boost domestic production and reduce security risks. Defense stocks Kratos, AeroVironment, Red Cat and Ondas rose in premarket trading. The policy takes effect in 21 days, with onshoring incentives authorized by Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Sweeping new import restrictions on foreign unmanned aircraft systems (UAS) triggered a premarket surge for US manufacturers on Friday, as the Donald Trump administration moves to curb international reliance. The policy creates an immediate competitive advantage for legacy defense contractors like Kratos Defense & Security Solutions Inc. (NASDAQ: KTOS) and AeroVironment Inc. (NASDAQ: AVAV), while boosting smaller domestic innovators such as Ondas Inc. (NASDAQ: ONDS) and Red Cat Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: RCAT).
Aggressive Tariffs and Onshoring
President Trump signed a proclamation on Thursday establishing severe tariffs on imported UAS and their components to strengthen supply chains. The primary duties take effect in 21 days, with a 180-day grace period for non-sensitive components granted exemptions by the Pentagon.
The tariff structure is tiered based on weight and sensitivity:
- 100% ad valorem tariff: Applies to drones weighing over 25 kilograms or those equipped with capabilities deemed "particularly sensitive for national security purposes," specifically including thermal imaging and docking stations.
- 25% levy: Applies to smaller commercial and hobbyist drones.
- 15% tariff: Applies to imports from allied nations, including the European Union, Japan, Liechtenstein, South Korea, Switzerland, and Taiwan.
- 10% tariff: Applies to the United Kingdom, provided that "substantially all hardware, software, and technology originates from within these countries and the United States."
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick is authorized to establish a massive onshoring program to incentivize domestic manufacturing investments.
Curbing Cybersecurity Risks
The economic mandate follows an investigation by Lutnick, who concluded that the United States is "too reliant" on foreign drone supply chains and that foreign components "pose security and safety risks." The White House stated that US drone production needs to be expanded rapidly to ensure national and economic security.
Investors immediately priced in this forced domestic expansion. In premarket trading, Red Cat shares rose 7.42%, AeroVironment gained 2.95%, Ondas advanced 2.92%, and Kratos increased 2.42%.
Stock Performance Overview
| Stock: | 1-Month: | 6-Months: | YTD: | 1-Year: | 5-Years: |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kratos Defense: | 33.71%: | -29.50%: | -17.28%: | -8.67%: | 182.08%: |
| AeroVironment: | 33.59%: | -22.32%: | -21.69%: | -25.66%: | 87.80%: |
| Ondas: | 28.02%: | -4.30%: | -8.71%: | 153.12%: | 16.93%: |
| Red Cat: | 22.08%: | -10.03%: | 29.00%: | 8.95%: | 250.34%: |
What the Numbers Show
The premarket gains represent a sharp reversal of recent short-term trends for these stocks. While all four companies posted double-digit gains in the past month—Kratos Defense up 33.71% and AeroVironment up 33.59%—they have largely underperformed over the longer term. AeroVironment is down 25.66% over the past year, and Kratos Defense has declined 8.67% over the same period. The tariff announcement appears to be acting as a significant catalyst, offsetting the negative year-to-date performance seen in Kratos (-17.28%) and AeroVironment (-21.69%).
How might foreign drone manufacturers, particularly in China and allied nations, retaliate against these tiered tariffs, and what impact could this have on global trade relations?
Will the 180-day grace period for non-sensitive components be sufficient for US defense contractors to scale domestic production without disrupting current military supply chains?
Could the significant cost increase from 100% tariffs on heavy drones lead to budget overruns or delays in critical defense procurement programs relying on imported UAS technology?

























