Intel stock falls 3% on semiconductor profit-taking
Intel Corp. shares declined over 3% in premarket trading as investors reacted to Taiwan Semiconductor's capital spending plans, prompting profit-taking in the semiconductor sector. Technical analysis shows the stock trading below short-term moving averages but holding above long-term levels, with momentum indicators signaling near-term selling pressure. Intel is set to report second-quarter earnings on July 23, with Wall Street projecting a return to profitability and revenue growth.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Intel Corp. shares fell more than 3% in Thursday’s premarket trading as investors trimmed exposure to technology stocks ahead of the opening bell. The decline follows Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd.’s stronger-than-expected capital spending plans, which triggered broad profit-taking across semiconductor stocks. Nasdaq futures were down 1.07%, while S&P 500 futures slipped 0.44%. Intel stock has rallied sharply over the past year, making it vulnerable to profit-taking during a risk-off session.
Technical Analysis
Intel is trading 18.3% below its 20-day simple moving average and 15.3% below its 50-day simple moving average. However, the stock remains 15% above its 100-day simple moving average and 56.5% above its 200-day simple moving average. The longer-term trend remains constructive, with the 20-day moving average still above the 50-day moving average, while the 50-day remains above the 200-day moving average following a golden cross in August 2025.
Momentum has weakened, with the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator remaining below its signal line and a negative histogram. This setup suggests selling pressure continues to outweigh buying momentum in the near term. Intel reached its 52-week high in June before pulling back, with a key support level now sitting near $98.50.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| 20-day SMA | 18.3% below |
| 50-day SMA | 15.3% below |
| 100-day SMA | 15% above |
| 200-day SMA | 56.5% above |
Earnings And Analyst Outlook
Intel is scheduled to report second-quarter earnings on July 23. Wall Street expects earnings of 19 cents per share, compared with a loss of 10 cents per share a year earlier. Analysts also expect revenue of $14.40 billion, up from $12.86 billion in the prior-year quarter.
| Metric | Estimate | Prior Year |
|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | 19 cents | (10 cents) |
| Revenue | $14.40 billion | $12.86 billion |
The stock carries a Hold consensus rating with an average price forecast of $94.85. Recent analyst actions include KeyBanc maintaining Overweight and raising its price forecast to $155 on July 14, UBS maintaining Neutral and raising its price forecast to $121 on July 13, and TD Cowen maintaining Hold and raising its price forecast to $115 on July 13.
ETF Exposure
Intel is a significant holding in several technology-focused exchange-traded funds, including the VanEck Semiconductor ETF with a 7.36% weighting, the SPDR NYSE Technology ETF at 6.35%, and the Invesco AI and Next Gen Software ETF at 7.25%. Large inflows or outflows in those funds can influence demand for Intel shares. Intel shares were down 3.20% at $99.69 during premarket trading on Thursday.
Will Intel's upcoming earnings report on July 23 be enough to reverse the current bearish momentum triggered by TSMC's capital spending plans?
How might sustained outflows from major semiconductor ETFs like the VanEck Semiconductor ETF exacerbate Intel's recent price decline?
If Intel fails to hold the key support level near $98.50, what further downside risks could emerge for the stock?
































