Trent Shares Slump 36% from Peak; Mixed Analyst Outlook Ahead of Q1 Results
Trent Limited's stock has fallen 36% from its 52-week high, now trading below key moving averages. Analysts project strong revenue growth of up to 36% for Q1, driven by aggressive store expansion, particularly in the Zudio format. However, EBITDA margins are expected to face pressure due to soft same-store sales growth, cost inflation, and competitive pressures. Technical analysts suggest potential buying opportunities in the Rs 5,000-5,100 range, with upside targets of Rs 5,800-6,000. Brokerage recommendations remain mixed, with some maintaining negative outlooks while others issue buy ratings.

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Trent Limited , a prominent player in the Indian retail sector, has seen its shares decline significantly from recent highs as the company approaches its quarterly earnings announcement. The stock has experienced a sharp correction, prompting varied responses from market analysts.
Stock Performance
Trent's stock has witnessed a substantial decline, falling 36% from its 52-week high of Rs 8,345.00. Currently, the shares are trading in oversold territory, suggesting a potential for a technical rebound. Despite negative returns over the past year, the stock has shown signs of recovery, gaining 6% in the last week.
The stock is currently trading below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages of Rs 5,584.00 and Rs 5,879.00 respectively, indicating a bearish trend in the medium term.
Technical Outlook
Technical analysts see potential buying opportunities in Trent shares. They suggest that the Rs 5,000.00-5,100.00 range could be an attractive entry point, with upside targets set at Rs 5,800.00-6,000.00. This outlook implies a possible upside of 16-20% from the suggested entry levels.
Q1 Earnings Expectations
As Trent prepares to release its quarterly results, brokerages are anticipating strong top-line growth:
- Revenue growth projections reach up to 36%, primarily driven by the company's aggressive store expansion strategy.
- The Zudio format stores are expected to be a key contributor to this growth.
However, profitability metrics paint a more complex picture:
EBITDA margins are likely to face pressure due to several factors:
- Soft same-store sales growth
- Cost inflation
- Intensifying competitive pressures in the retail sector
Profit expectations are divided among analysts:
- Two out of four estimates suggest a decline in profit after tax
- Other forecasts indicate low single-digit growth in the bottom line
Brokerage Recommendations
Analyst opinions on Trent's stock remain mixed:
- PhillipCapital maintains a negative outlook on the stock.
- Motilal Oswal has issued a Buy rating with a target price of Rs 6,600.00, suggesting significant upside potential.
- Kotak Institutional Equities recommends a Reduce stance, setting a target price of Rs 5,300.00.
Investor Considerations
As Trent approaches its earnings announcement, investors should consider the following factors:
- The company's strong revenue growth trajectory, supported by its expansion strategy.
- Potential margin pressures that could impact profitability.
- The current technical position of the stock, which suggests it might be oversold.
- Divergent views from analysts, highlighting the need for careful analysis before making investment decisions.
Investors are advised to closely monitor Trent's upcoming quarterly results for further insights into the company's performance and future outlook in the competitive Indian retail landscape.
Historical Stock Returns for Trent
1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
+0.31% | +2.70% | -2.21% | +2.37% | -5.74% | +813.54% |