MRPL Reports Exceptional Q3FY26 Results with EBITDA of ₹27.8bn; Prabhudas Lilladher Sets ₹162 Target
Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals reported exceptional Q3FY26 results with EBITDA surging to ₹27.8bn from ₹14.9bn in Q2FY26, significantly beating analyst estimates. PAT improved dramatically to ₹14.5bn while throughput grew to 4.7mmt. The company plans to expand retail outlets to 1,000 over five years. Prabhudas Lilladher maintains 'ACCUMULATE' rating with ₹162 target price despite moderating crack spreads.

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Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals (MRPL) has delivered exceptional financial performance in Q3FY26, with EBITDA reaching ₹27.8bn, representing a substantial improvement from ₹14.9bn recorded in Q2FY26. The results significantly surpassed analyst expectations, with Prabhudas Lilladher's estimate of ₹18.5bn and consensus estimates of ₹21.1bn. The strong performance was primarily driven by stronger fuel cracks and higher utilization rates across the company's operations.
Outstanding Financial Performance
The company's profitability metrics showed remarkable improvement across key parameters during the quarter:
| Financial Metric: | Q3FY26 | Q2FY26 | Q3FY25 | Performance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA: | ₹27.8bn | ₹14.9bn | - | +86.6% QoQ |
| PAT: | ₹14.5bn | ₹6.4bn | ₹3.0bn | +126.6% QoQ, +383.3% YoY |
| Throughput: | 4.7mmt | - | - | +6.1% QoQ, +2.2% YoY |
The profit after tax (PAT) performance was particularly noteworthy, with the company achieving ₹14.5bn compared to Prabhudas Lilladher's estimate of ₹8.1bn and consensus estimates of ₹10.5bn. This represents a significant improvement from ₹6.4bn in Q2FY26 and ₹3.0bn in Q3FY25.
Operational Excellence and Throughput Growth
MRPL's operational efficiency continued to improve, with throughput reaching 4.7mmt during the quarter, exceeding Prabhudas Lilladher's estimate of 4.4mmt. The company achieved quarter-on-quarter growth of 6.1% and year-on-year growth of 2.2% in throughput volumes. This operational improvement contributed significantly to the strong financial performance, demonstrating the company's ability to maximize capacity utilization.
Strategic Expansion Plans
The company has outlined ambitious expansion plans for its marketing presence, targeting significant growth in retail operations. MRPL plans to expand its retail outlet network to 1,000 outlets over the next five years, representing a substantial increase in its downstream presence. This strategic initiative aims to strengthen the company's market position and enhance its direct customer reach.
Market Conditions and Future Outlook
While MRPL benefited from favorable market conditions during Q3FY26, crack spreads have since moderated to Q2FY26 levels. Prabhudas Lilladher has incorporated gross refining margins (GRM) of USD 7.6 per barrel for FY27E and USD 7.5 per barrel for FY28E in their projections, reflecting expectations of normalized market conditions.
Analyst Recommendation and Valuation
Prabhudas Lilladher has maintained its 'ACCUMULATE' rating on MRPL with a revised target price of ₹162, down from the previous target of ₹168. The valuation is based on 6.0x December FY27 EV/EBITDA multiple. Currently, the stock trades at attractive valuations of 6.5x FY27E and 5.9x FY28E EV/EBITDA multiples.
| Valuation Metrics: | Details |
|---|---|
| Current Rating: | ACCUMULATE |
| Target Price: | ₹162 |
| Previous Target: | ₹168 |
| Valuation Multiple: | 6.0x Dec FY27 EV/EBITDA |
| Current Trading Multiple: | 6.5x FY27E, 5.9x FY28E EV/EBITDA |
The brokerage has adjusted its assessment of the company's chemicals business, lowering the option value from ₹45 to ₹22, as the commercialization plans remain several years away. Despite this adjustment, the strong refining performance and strategic expansion plans support the positive investment thesis for MRPL.
Historical Stock Returns for IG Petrochemicals
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -2.20% | -2.14% | -8.59% | -28.74% | -26.24% | -4.39% |









































