Kotak Mahindra Bank Shares Decline Ahead of Q2 Results; Mixed Performance Expected
Kotak Mahindra Bank is expected to report muted Q2 performance on October 25, with analysts projecting a possible 1.9% to 4.8% year-on-year decline in profit after tax. Net interest income is forecast to grow by 4%, while net interest margins may contract by 9 basis points to 4.56% due to higher deposit costs. Pre-provision operating profit is anticipated to increase by 5% year-on-year, with credit costs easing to around 0.7%.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Kotak Mahindra Bank shares traded lower ahead of its quarterly results announcement, as analysts anticipate a muted performance for the July-September quarter. The bank is set to release its Q2 results on October 25, with expectations of subdued profit growth primarily due to margin compression and rising funding costs.
Profit and Income Projections
Analysts expect Kotak Mahindra Bank's net interest income (NII) to grow by 4% year-on-year, driven by steady loan growth. However, profit after tax (PAT) may decline marginally by 2% year-on-year. Forecasts from five brokerages project the bank's PAT to range between ₹3,183.00 crore and ₹3,282.00 crore, indicating a potential year-on-year decline of 1.9% to 4.8%.
Margin Compression and Key Metrics
The bank is likely to experience further compression in its net interest margins (NIMs). Analysts predict NIMs to contract by 9 basis points to 4.56%. This reduction is attributed to higher deposit costs and competitive pricing in the market.
Here's a summary of the key financial metrics expected for Q2:
| Metric | Projection | YoY Change |
|---|---|---|
| Net Interest Income Growth | 4% | - |
| Net Interest Margin | 4.56% | -9 bps |
| Pre-Provision Operating Profit | 5% increase | - |
| Credit Costs | 0.7% | -20 bps |
Operational Performance and Asset Quality
The pre-provision operating profit is expected to increase by 5% year-on-year, with contained cost ratios. Credit costs are anticipated to ease by 20 basis points to around 0.7% after rising in the previous quarter.
Analyst Focus Areas
As the bank prepares to announce its quarterly earnings, analysts will be closely monitoring several key areas:
- Management commentary on asset quality in retail and commercial vehicle segments
- Updates on growth strategy
- Guidance on margin trajectory, with earlier indications suggesting margins could bottom out this quarter
Investors and market watchers will be keenly awaiting the official results to assess how Kotak Mahindra Bank has navigated the challenging economic environment and to gain insights into its strategies for maintaining growth and profitability in the coming quarters.
Historical Stock Returns for Mahindra & Mahindra
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.04% | -0.61% | +1.40% | +24.94% | +28.26% | +507.05% |
















































