Infosys Q3 Results Preview: Brokerages Expect Up to 9% YoY Growth in PAT and Revenue
Infosys is set to report Q3 results on January 14, with four brokerages projecting up to 9% year-on-year growth in both PAT and revenue despite seasonal headwinds. Estimates range from ₹7,293-7,425 crore for PAT and ₹44,947-45,679 crore for revenue. The Street will focus on FY26 guidance updates, with HDFC Securities expecting a 1% increase to 3-4% revenue growth guidance while ElaraCapital anticipates retention of 2-3% guidance. Key monitoring areas include deal pipeline progress, margin outlook supported by Project Maximus cost optimisation, and client spending trends amid global macro uncertainty.

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Infosys is preparing to announce its Q3 results on Wednesday, January 14, with brokerages anticipating a seasonally soft quarter characterised by modest sequential growth and stable margins. India's second-largest IT services company faces headwinds from furloughs and fewer working days, though deal execution and cost optimisation initiatives are expected to provide some support.
Financial Performance Expectations
Four prominent brokerages project robust year-on-year growth for the December quarter, with estimates showing consistent optimism across key financial metrics.
Profit After Tax (PAT) Projections
| Brokerage: | PAT Estimate | YoY Growth | QoQ Growth |
|---|---|---|---|
| YES Securities: | ₹7,392.00 crore | +8.60% | +0.40% |
| ElaraCapital: | ₹7,293.00 crore | +7.20% | -1.00% |
| Axis Securities: | ₹7,425.00 crore | +8.80% | +0.70% |
| HDFC Securities: | ₹7,399.00 crore | +8.70% | +0.50% |
Brokerages broadly expect high single-digit year-on-year profit growth, with sequential trends remaining largely flat across estimates.
Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Brokerage: | Revenue Estimate | YoY Growth | QoQ Growth |
|---|---|---|---|
| YES Securities: | ₹45,363.00 crore | +8.60% | +2.00% |
| Elara Capital: | ₹44,947.00 crore | +7.60% | +1.00% |
| Axis Securities: | ₹45,679.00 crore | +9.40% | +2.70% |
| HDFC Securities: | ₹45,467.00 crore | +8.90% | +2.20% |
YES Securities estimates constant currency revenue growth at 1.40% year-on-year and 0.50% quarter-on-quarter, reflecting the seasonally weak nature of the quarter.
Margin and Profitability Outlook
EBITDA and EBIT projections show varied expectations across brokerages, with margin performance remaining a key focus area.
Operating Profit Estimates
| Brokerage: | EBITDA/EBIT Estimate | YoY Growth | QoQ Growth |
|---|---|---|---|
| YES Securities (EBITDA): | ₹10,756.00 crore | +6.30% | +2.10% |
| Elara Capital (EBIT): | ₹9,290.00 crore | +4.20% | -0.70% |
| Axis Securities (EBIT): | ₹9,666.00 crore | +8.50% | +3.30% |
| HDFC Securities: | ₹9,539.00 crore | +7.00% | +2.00% |
Margin Performance
YES Securities projects EBITDA margin at 23.70%, remaining largely flat quarter-on-quarter. Axis Securities expects EBIT margin at 21.20%, down 18 basis points year-on-year but up 14 basis points quarter-on-quarter. HDFC Securities forecasts 21.00% margin, declining 36 basis points year-on-year and 4 basis points quarter-on-quarter. Axis Securities attributes sequential margin improvement to Infosys' cost optimisation initiative, Project Maximus.
Key Areas of Focus
The Street will closely monitor several critical aspects during the results announcement and management commentary.
FY26 Guidance Expectations
HDFC Securities expects Infosys to raise FY26 revenue growth guidance by 1% to 3-4%, while maintaining its margin band of 20-22%. ElaraCapital anticipates the company will retain its FY26 revenue guidance of 2-3%, noting a low ask rate of -1.50% to -0.20% for the next two quarters.
Strategic Monitoring Points
Investors should watch for updates on:
- Deal pipeline developments and execution progress
- Pace of deal ramp-ups across business segments
- Utilisation levels and resource optimisation
- Margin outlook amid cost management initiatives
- Client spending trends in the context of global macro uncertainty
The results will provide crucial insights into how India's second-largest IT services company is navigating seasonal challenges while positioning for future growth opportunities.
Historical Stock Returns for Infosys
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.24% | -0.90% | -0.39% | -0.18% | -18.87% | +16.06% |
















































