Bitcoin falls 11% in Q2 as ETF outflows and stablecoin supply drop
Bitcoin fell 11% in Q2 due to ETF outflows, reduced Strategy buying, and a shrinking stablecoin supply. The market saw $8.35 billion in long liquidations, and open interest for Bitcoin and Ethereum dropped significantly. Bitcoin enters Q3 deleveraged but with thinner orderbook depth.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Bitcoin ended the year's second quarter down roughly 11% as ETF outflows, reduced buying by Strategy, and a contraction in the stablecoin market weakened simultaneously. The cryptocurrency, which currently sits near $60,000, is roughly 52% below its all-time high of $126,000 set in late 2025. The decline contrasts sharply with equity markets, as the S&P 500 ended the quarter up 16% and the Nasdaq 100 gained 28%.
Market Reversal and Performance
Crypto entered Q2 with momentum, with Bitcoin and Ethereum both climbing roughly 20% from early April as geopolitical anxiety eased and institutional demand improved. That recovery reversed as oil prices spiked with Brent crude hitting $126.41, the Federal Reserve turned more hawkish, and capital rotated into AI stocks. By the end of May, the divergence became clear, with Bitcoin falling around 10%, Ethereum dropping 20%, and Solana losing 13%.
Demand Channels Weaken
Coin Metrics identified three pillars that normally support Bitcoin's price, all of which cracked in Q2. Spot Bitcoin ETFs started strong with a single-day inflow peak of $474 million on April 20 but subsequently flipped to outflows. Outflows dominated the rest of the quarter with 53 outflow days against just 30 inflow days. June alone accounted for $3.84 billion of the quarter's total $4.08 billion in net outflows.
The buying pace of Strategy slowed materially as its stock price fell to a record low near $74, weakening the funding mechanism behind its accumulation. The sale of 32 BTC in early June prompted Strategy to launch its new Digital Credit Capital Framework with a $2.55 billion reserve and authorization to sell up to $1.25 billion in Bitcoin. Additionally, the stablecoin market contracted by $4.2 billion across Q2. USDT grew modestly by $1.8 billion, while USDC shed $3.4 billion and Ethena's USDe fell $1.4 billion.
Q2 Financial and Market Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Bitcoin Q2 Performance | Down ~11% |
| Ethereum Q2 Performance | Down 20% |
| Solana Q2 Performance | Down 13% |
| S&P 500 Q2 Performance | Up 16% |
| Nasdaq 100 Q2 Performance | Up 28% |
| Spot ETF Net Outflows | $4.08 billion |
| June ETF Net Outflows | $3.84 billion |
| Stablecoin Market Contraction | $4.2 billion |
| BTC & ETH Long Liquidations | $8.35 billion |
Deleveraging and Market Depth
Combined Bitcoin and Ethereum long liquidations totaled $8.35 billion across Q2, with more than half occurring between May 25 and June 7 as overleveraged longs were flushed out. Bitcoin open interest fell 32% from its peak to $33.5 billion, while Ethereum open interest dropped 40% to $16.2 billion. Bitcoin's orderbook depth declined from nearly $70 million in early May to roughly $35 to $40 million by late June, leaving the market thinner and more sensitive to selling pressure heading into Q3. The one standout in the crypto market cap top 20 was Hyperliquid, with Hyperliquid Strategies Inc up 142% year-to-date on surging demand for on-chain perpetuals trading.
Will the reduction in Bitcoin open interest and thinner orderbook depth lead to higher volatility in Q3?
Can Strategy's new Digital Credit Capital Framework successfully stabilize its accumulation pace despite stock price declines?
Is the massive divergence between crypto and equity performance likely to persist if the Federal Reserve maintains a hawkish stance?

































