Vail Resorts cuts FY26 outlook as weather hits Q3 results

1 min read     Updated on 09 Jun 2026, 04:41 AM
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Reviewed by
Jubin VScanX News Team
AI Summary

Vail Resorts reported Q3 FY26 net income of $314.4 million, down from $389.7 million, citing unfavorable weather. The company cut FY26 guidance, while skier visits fell 15.5% and ETP rose 12.0%.

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Vail Resorts reported third-quarter fiscal 2026 net income attributable to Vail Resorts, Inc. of $314.4 million, a decrease from $389.7 million in the prior year, as unfavorable weather conditions pressured visitation and revenue. The company reduced its fiscal 2026 guidance, now expecting net income of $128 million to $162 million and Resort Reported EBITDA of $735 million to $755 million, citing historically challenging weather in the western U.S.

Resort Reported EBITDA for the quarter decreased $61.3 million, or 9.5%, to $586.4 million compared to the prior year. Resort net revenue decreased $90.4 million, or 7.0%, to $1.205 billion. Total skier visits declined 15.5% year-over-year, while the Effective Ticket Price (ETP) increased 12.0% to $100.24.

Season Pass Sales

Pass product unit sales through May 26, 2026, for the upcoming North American ski season decreased approximately 10%, while sales dollars decreased approximately 5% compared to the prior year period. However, Epic Australia Pass sales increased approximately 26% in units and 31% in sales dollars.

Liquidity and Capital Returns

The Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $2.22 per share, payable on July 9, 2026, to shareholders of record as of June 25, 2026. As of April 30, 2026, total liquidity was approximately $1.1 billion, and Net Debt was 3.5 times trailing twelve months Total Reported EBITDA.

Metric Q3 FY26 Q3 Prior Year Change
Net Income $314.4 million $389.7 million -19.3%
Resort Reported EBITDA $586.4 million $647.7 million -9.5%
Resort Net Revenue $1.205 billion $1.295 billion -7.0%
Total Skier Visits 7,276 8,609 -15.5%
ETP $100.24 $89.47 12.0%

How will the company adjust its pricing strategy to balance the rising Effective Ticket Price with the 10% decline in North American pass sales?

What operational changes or investments is Vail Resorts considering to mitigate the financial impact of historically volatile weather patterns in the western U.S.?

Will the current Net Debt to EBITDA leverage ratio of 3.5 times impact the company's ability to maintain its current dividend payout levels if visitation does not recover?

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Mizuho lowers Vail Resorts price target to $191

0 min read     Updated on 09 Jun 2026, 12:36 AM
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Reviewed by
Radhika SScanX News Team
AI Summary

Mizuho analyst Ben Chaiken maintains an Outperform rating on Vail Resorts (NYSE: MTN) but lowers the price target to $191 from $200, adjusting the valuation outlook while retaining a positive view on the stock.

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Mizuho analyst Ben Chaiken has maintained an Outperform rating on Vail Resorts (NYSE: MTN) while lowering the price target to $191 from $200. The revised target reflects a recalibrated valuation outlook for the ski resort operator, despite the continued positive stance on the stock's performance potential.

The rating affirmation suggests confidence in Vail Resorts' underlying business fundamentals and strategic positioning. However, the reduction in the price target indicates a more conservative near-term valuation metric, possibly factoring in market conditions or operational forecasts.

Analyst Rating and Price Target

The following table outlines the revised analyst metrics for Vail Resorts:

Metric Value
Rating Outperform
Previous Price Target $200
New Price Target $191

The Outperform rating implies that the stock is expected to perform better than the broader market average over the specified rating period. Investors should note that price targets are projections and not guarantees of future performance.

What specific market conditions or operational forecasts prompted the recalibration of Vail Resorts' valuation outlook?

How might rising operational costs or weather volatility impact Vail Resorts' ability to meet the revised price target?

What strategic initiatives could Vail Resorts pursue to offset the conservative near-term valuation metrics?

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