Bernstein forecasts $14 billion from Core Scientific's 15-year AMD deal
Core Scientific's strategic partnership with AMD to deploy 530 MW of AI infrastructure is forecast by Bernstein to generate $14 billion over 15 years. The deal supports Core's pivot to AI hosting, complementing its Q2 FY26 revenue beat of $164.2 million, despite a net loss driven by warrant fair value changes.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Core Scientific (NASDAQ: CORZ) has secured a strategic partnership with Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NASDAQ: AMD) that Bernstein Research forecasts could generate approximately $14 billion in revenue over 15 years. The agreement involves deploying up to 530 megawatts of leasable AI infrastructure across five sites under long-term contracts, marking a significant pivot for the former Bitcoin miner into high-density AI hosting. This development coincides with Core Scientific’s Q2 fiscal year 2026 earnings, where the company reported total revenue of $164.2 million, beating analyst estimates of $143.1 million by nearly 15%, despite missing per-share earnings expectations.
The partnership anchors roughly $14 billion in potential base contracted revenue, with Bernstein estimating average annual revenue of nearly $900 million, or approximately $1.8 million per megawatt. While this revenue per megawatt is modestly below recent AI colocation agreements, the direct lease structure is expected to generate nearly 100% margins. The deal highlights a broader industry shift where major chipmakers are using their balance sheets to secure long-term data center leases, enabling former miners with existing power infrastructure to transition into AI hosting businesses.
Sector-Wide Infrastructure Shift
Bernstein analyst Gautam Chhugani noted that the Core Scientific deal reflects a wider trend of chipmakers backing long-term data center leases. Similar agreements have emerged across the sector, including Hut 8 Corp. (NASDAQ: HUT), which announced a 704-MW agreement with a single tenant reportedly identified as Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ: NVDA). Additionally, AMD has reserved 200 MW with Riot Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ: RIOT). These deals allow companies with established power footprints to monetize their assets through triple-net lease structures, reducing operational risk for the hosts while securing critical infrastructure for chipmakers.
Financial Performance and Capital Requirements
Core Scientific’s Q2 2026 results showed robust top-line growth, with colocation revenue surging to $136.7 million from $10.6 million in the prior-year period. This drove gross profit to $70.0 million and expanded consolidated gross margins to 43%, up from just 6% in Q2 2025. However, the company reported a net loss of $1,155.3 million, widened by fair value changes in warrants. Capital expenditures for the quarter totaled $797.5 million, reflecting accelerated infrastructure investment.
| Metric | Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Billing MW | 395 | 225 | N/A |
| Colocation Revenue ($M) | 136.7 | 77.5 | 10.6 |
| Total Revenue ($M) | 164.2 | 115.2 | 78.6 |
| Gross Profit ($M) | 70.0 | 30.1 | 5.0 |
| Net Loss ($M) | (1,155.3) | (347.2) | (936.8) |
| Adjusted EBITDA ($M) | 41.1 | 8.9 | 28.5 |
| CapEx ($M) | 797.5 | 389.2 | 121.3 |
| Liquidity ($M) | 1,819.4 | 1,042.5 | 754.1 |
Note: Figures in millions except where noted. Liquidity includes cash and digital assets.
What the Numbers Show
The divergence between strong revenue growth and a widened net loss underscores the impact of non-operational factors on Core Scientific’s bottom line. While colocation metrics demonstrate successful execution in high-density services, the net loss was heavily influenced by fair value changes in warrants. The AMD partnership provides a clear path to stabilizing cash flows, with Bernstein estimating total project costs near $6 billion based on guided capital expenditure of $11 million to $12 million per megawatt. With approximately $1 billion already invested, the remaining construction is expected to be financed through project-level debt, leveraging the high-margin nature of the triple-net lease structure.
How will Core Scientific’s reliance on project-level debt to finance the remaining $5 billion in infrastructure costs impact its credit rating and future borrowing capacity?
Given the modest revenue per megawatt compared to recent AI colocation deals, what competitive risks does Core Scientific face if chipmakers like AMD renegotiate terms or seek higher-density solutions?
To what extent might the success of Core Scientific’s pivot influence the valuation multiples of other former Bitcoin miners, such as Hut 8 and Riot Platforms, in the coming quarters?




























