BW LPG Q2 EPS $0.79 misses estimate, sales beat

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Shriram SScanX News Team
Key Highlights
  • EPS of $0.79 missed the $1.19 consensus estimate by 33.6%
  • Sales of $340.8M beat the $311.1M estimate by 9.6%
  • Revenue grew 47.8% YoY from $230.5M in Q2FY25
  • Consolidated NPAT stood at $138M with 27% annualised ROE
  • Dividend of $0.95 per share confirmed with Sept 16 payment date
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BW LPG Limited reported Q2FY26 earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.79, missing the analyst consensus estimate of US$1.19 by 33.61%. This represents a 243.48% increase from US$0.23 per share in the same period last year.

Quarterly sales reached US$340.790 million, beating the analyst consensus estimate of US$311.088 million by 9.55%. This marks a 47.82% increase over sales of US$230.537 million in the corresponding period last year.

The company also confirmed key dates for its US$0.95 per share cash dividend, including a September 16 payment date. The Board approved the dividend on August 27, 2026. For shares registered with Euronext VPS on the Oslo Stock Exchange, the dividend is NOK8.8914 per share. The record date for both Oslo and New York Stock Exchange listings is September 8, 2026. The last trading day to include the right to receive the dividend is September 4, 2026. Ex-dates are September 7, 2026 for Oslo and September 8, 2026 for New York.

Financial performance at a glance

BW LPG posted a consolidated Net Profit After Tax (NPAT) of US$138 million in Q2FY26, yielding an annualised return on equity of 27%. Liquidity remained robust at US$773 million, while the net leverage ratio improved to 23.5% from 26.3% as of March 31, 2026. The declared dividend represents 100% of Shipping NPAT for the quarter.

Metric Q2FY26
NPAT (consolidated) US$138 million
Profit attributable to equity holders US$120 million
Earnings per share US$0.79
Annualised return on equity 27%
Liquidity US$773 million
Net leverage ratio 23.5%
Cash dividend per share US$0.95
TCE income (shipping) US$274.9 million
TCE per available day US$74,000
TCE per calendar day US$71,600
BW LPG India TCE income US$68.4 million

Time charter equivalent (TCE) income for shipping concluded at US$74,000 per available day and US$71,600 per calendar day. These figures reflect IFRS 15 and FFA negative adjustments of US$16.4 million and US$12.0 million respectively. Time charter coverage stood at 53% of available days at US$64,000 per day.

Product services performance

BW Product Services generated a realised trading gain of US$127 million during the quarter. However, reported trading results reflected a gross loss of US$18 million and a loss after tax of US$31 million. This was primarily due to a non-cash unrealised mark-to-market valuation change of negative US$145 million on open positions.

Q3FY26 TCE guidance and fleet coverage

For Q3FY26, the company has fixed approximately 92% of available fleet days at an average rate of approximately US$88,000 per day. This includes fixed time charter coverage of 41% at US$44,300 per day. The TCE guidance excludes potential IFRS 15 and FFA impact. For the second half of FY26, BW LPG has secured 41% of fleet capacity on fixed-rate time charters at US$44,100 per day, with an additional 4% through FFA hedges at an average rate of US$48,000 per day.

Subsequent events: vessel sales and new charter

Following the close of the quarter, BW LPG announced several asset transactions and a new time charter agreement:

Event Details
BW Elm (2007-built) sale Net book gain ~US$36 million; net cash proceeds ~US$64 million; delivered July
BW Birch (2007-built) sale Net book gain ~US$37 million; net cash proceeds ~US$64 million; delivery expected mid-November
Combined sale value (BW Elm + BW Birch) Equivalent to newbuilding price of ~US$248 million
BW Levant (2015-built) sale Net book gain ~US$17 million; net cash proceeds ~US$38 million; delivery scheduled mid-November
LPG dual-fuel retrofit vessel (2016-built) Fixed for five-year time charter out in the mid-high US$40,000s per day; delivery end 2026

BW Elm and BW Birch were sold as second-hand vessels at a value equivalent to a newbuilding price of approximately US$248 million on a combined basis. BW Levant was acquired as part of the 2024 Avance Gas transaction.

Market conditions and cargo movements

The first half of 2026 was among the most volatile periods on record for the VLGC market. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz following the outbreak of war in the Middle East caused significant disruption to regional LPG pricing and global VLGC trade patterns. LPG importers shifted procurement towards the US, driving export terminal fees sharply higher while VLGC freight rates weakened. As additional US export capacity came online, vessel availability emerged as the primary bottleneck in the LPG value chain.

Key cargo movement shifts during the first half of 2026 included:

  • US LPG exports carried by VLGCs rose 16% year-on-year
  • US LPG exports to India surged 212% compared with the first half of 2025
  • US exports to China for the first six months of 2026 increased 2% year-on-year
  • Middle East LPG exports carried by VLGCs declined 46% year-on-year
  • Far East LPG imports fell 18%, with China down 26%, Japan down 1%, and South Korea down 7%
  • Southeast Asia VLGC LPG imports declined 1%, with US-sourced imports up 31%

Declining water levels at the Panama Canal prompted transit restrictions through the original locks and higher auction fees for the new locks, pushing more VLGCs to sail via the Cape of Good Hope and reducing effective vessel supply.

Fleet and orderbook

During 2026, 27 VLGCs have been delivered, with a further 13 vessels expected by year-end. The orderbook stands at 155 VLGCs, equivalent to 35% of the existing fleet, with deliveries scheduled through the fourth quarter of 2030. Approximately 9% of the existing fleet is 25 years of age or older. Average PDH operating rates in China recovered to levels above 70%, and nine additional PDH plants are scheduled to start up in 2027, followed by another six in 2028 and beyond.

What the Numbers Show

While top-line revenue growth of 47.82% significantly beat analyst expectations, the bottom-line EPS miss of 33.61% highlights margin pressure. The divergence between strong sales performance and lower-than-expected profitability suggests that cost structures or non-operating items impacted net earnings despite robust operational volume.

How will the sustained disruption of Middle East LPG exports via the Strait of Hormuz impact long-term freight rate stability for BW LPG's fleet?

Given the 35% orderbook relative to the existing fleet, what is the risk of oversupply affecting VLGC charter rates by 2028-2030?

Will BW LPG reinvest the proceeds from the recent vessel sales into new dual-fuel compliant vessels to meet evolving environmental regulations?

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BW LPG sells BW Birch for $64m, books $37m net gain

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Reviewed by
Suketu GScanX News Team
Key Highlights
  • BW LPG sells 2007-built vessel BW Birch for continued trading
  • Transaction generates $64 million in net cash proceeds
  • Company books a $37 million net gain on the sale
  • Vessel delivery scheduled by mid-November at the latest
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BW LPG Limited has agreed to sell its 2007-built vessel, BW Birch. The transaction is expected to generate $64 million in net cash proceeds and a $37 million net book gain on a 100% basis.

The sale involves BW LPG India, the company's 52%-owned subsidiary. The vessel is currently trading under a time charter agreement and is scheduled for delivery by mid-November at the latest.

Transaction Details

The sale price reflects strong second-hand market values, with the transaction value equivalent to a newbuilding price of approximately $248 million. This aligns with the recently announced sale of another vessel, BW Elm.

Metric Value
Net Cash Proceeds $64 million
Net Book Gain $37 million
Equivalent Newbuilding Price $248 million
Delivery Timeline Mid-November

Kristian Sørensen, CEO of BW LPG, stated that the transaction supports the company's continued execution of its fleet renewal programme.

What the Numbers Show

The significant divergence between the net cash proceeds of $64 million and the implied book value (derived from the $37 million gain) indicates the vessel was carried on the balance sheet at approximately $27 million. Selling an asset built in 2007 for a price equivalent to a $248 million newbuilding highlights substantial appreciation in second-hand LPG carrier values relative to replacement costs.

How will the $64 million in net cash proceeds be allocated within BW LPG's fleet renewal programme, specifically regarding newbuilding orders or upgrades?

What does the equivalence of the sale price to a $248 million newbuilding suggest about future supply constraints and pricing power in the LPG shipping market?

Will BW LPG accelerate the sale of other older vessels from its 2007-era fleet given the current high second-hand valuations?

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