US Average Hourly Earnings Growth Accelerates to 3.8% in December, Beating Estimates

1 min read     Updated on 09 Jan 2026, 07:15 PM
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Reviewed by
Shraddha JScanX News Team
Overview

US average hourly earnings growth accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year in December, surpassing the previous month's 3.5% rate and beating economist estimates of 3.6%. The stronger-than-expected wage growth indicates continued strength in the US labor market and suggests sustained momentum in worker compensation trends.

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*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.

The United States labor market demonstrated continued strength in December, with average hourly earnings posting robust year-over-year growth that exceeded both previous performance and analyst expectations. The latest employment data reveals accelerating wage momentum, reflecting the ongoing dynamics in the American job market.

December Wage Growth Performance

US average hourly earnings recorded a 3.8% year-over-year increase in December, marking a notable acceleration in wage growth. The following table illustrates the performance against benchmarks:

Metric: December Result
Actual Growth: 3.8%
Previous Month: 3.5%
Economist Estimate: 3.6%
Beat Estimate By: 0.20 percentage points

Month-over-Month Comparison

The December figure represents a substantial improvement from the previous month's performance. The 0.30 percentage point increase from 3.5% to 3.8% demonstrates strengthening wage growth momentum in the US economy.

Market Expectations vs Reality

Economist forecasts had anticipated wage growth of 3.6% for December, making the actual 3.8% result a positive surprise. This outperformance suggests that wage pressures in the US labor market may be more robust than previously anticipated by market analysts.

Wage Growth Trajectory

The acceleration in average hourly earnings growth indicates continued tightness in the US labor market. The upward movement from 3.5% to 3.8% year-over-year growth reflects sustained demand for workers and ongoing compensation increases across various sectors of the American economy.

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US Average Hourly Earnings Accelerate to 0.3% in December, Meeting Expectations

1 min read     Updated on 09 Jan 2026, 07:05 PM
scanx
Reviewed by
Shriram SScanX News Team
Overview

US average hourly earnings rose 0.3% month-over-month in December, meeting economist expectations and marking a significant acceleration from the previous month's 0.1% growth. The December figure represents a threefold increase in monthly wage growth, suggesting strengthening compensation trends in the US labor market.

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*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.

US average hourly earnings showed accelerated growth in December, rising 0.3% on a month-over-month basis and meeting economist expectations. The December figure represents a notable improvement from wage growth trends observed in recent months.

December Earnings Performance

The latest employment data reveals that average hourly earnings increased by 0.3% in December compared to the previous month. This growth rate precisely matched economist forecasts, indicating that wage inflation is tracking in line with market expectations.

Metric: December Actual Previous Month Economist Estimate
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM): 0.3% 0.1% 0.3%

Month-over-Month Comparison

The December earnings growth of 0.3% represents a significant acceleration from the previous month's performance of 0.1%. This threefold increase in the monthly growth rate suggests strengthening wage pressures in the US labor market. The improvement from 0.1% to 0.3% indicates that employers are increasing compensation at a faster pace.

Market Expectations Alignment

The actual December reading of 0.3% matched economist predictions exactly, demonstrating that wage growth is progressing in line with market consensus. This alignment between actual results and forecasts suggests that labor market dynamics are developing as anticipated by economic analysts and may provide clarity for monetary policy considerations.

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