Dr Reddy's Q3 Preview: Analysts Expect 22% PAT Decline as US Business Pressures Weigh on Performance
Dr Reddy's Laboratories is expected to report challenging Q3 results with analysts forecasting 1% revenue decline and 22% PAT drop year-on-year. The muted performance stems from continued US business pressure due to negligible gRevlimid contribution and pricing pressures, while India business is projected to grow 10-13% driven by cardiac, pain management, and vaccination segments. European operations are expected to show steady 7-13% growth, and investors will focus on semaglutide approval progress in Canada and Abatacept filing updates.

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Dr Reddy's Laboratories is expected to face headwinds in the December quarter, with analysts projecting a challenging performance driven primarily by continued pressure from its US operations. The pharmaceutical major's consolidated results are anticipated to reflect the ongoing impact of reduced gRevlimid contribution and intensified pricing pressures in North America.
Financial Performance Outlook
Based on consensus estimates from five brokerages, Dr Reddy's financial performance for Q3 is expected to show significant pressure:
| Metric | Expected Change (YoY) | Key Drivers |
|---|---|---|
| Consolidated Revenue | -1% decline | US business pressure offsetting other markets |
| Profit After Tax | -22% decline | Lower gRevlimid contribution, margin compression |
North America: gRevlimid Impact Dominates
The US business remains the primary concern for Dr Reddy's quarterly performance. Multiple brokerages have highlighted the significant challenges facing the North American operations:
| Brokerage | US Sales Estimate | Key Observations |
|---|---|---|
| Axis Securities | $310 million | Negligible gRevlimid contribution |
| Kotak Equities | $325 million | 13% QoQ decline expected |
| Motilal Oswal | $310 million | 21.6% YoY decline projected |
YES Securities noted that Revlimid will no longer serve as a meaningful contributor after more than two years of sales, which exposes the underlying growth trajectory of the US base portfolio. The consensus among analysts indicates that pricing pressure and erosion in the base business will continue to weigh on the North American segment's performance.
India Business: Relative Strength
The domestic Indian market is expected to emerge as the strongest growth driver for Dr Reddy's in Q3. Analysts project robust performance across multiple therapeutic segments:
| Brokerage | India Growth Estimate | Growth Drivers |
|---|---|---|
| Axis Securities | ~10% YoY | Cardiac, pain management, vaccination segments |
| Kotak Equities | 13% YoY | Strong domestic sales momentum |
| Motilal Oswal | 11% YoY | Vaccines, cardiac therapies, pain management |
Analysts view the India business as structurally strong for Dr Reddy's, with differentiated product launches and chronic therapy portfolios continuing to gain market traction.
European Operations and Emerging Markets
Europe is anticipated to deliver steady growth momentum during the quarter. Kotak Equities expects particularly strong performance with 13% year-on-year growth, led by the nicotine replacement therapy portfolio. Axis Securities projects more modest but consistent 7% growth supported by steady demand and portfolio expansion.
For other international markets, brokerages forecast approximately 13% year-on-year growth, driven by stable emerging market demand. Kotak Equities specifically highlighted Russia's expected 15% year-on-year growth from volume expansion, though this may be partially offset by marginal rouble depreciation.
Key Development Areas
Beyond the quarterly financial performance, analysts will closely monitor several strategic developments that could influence Dr Reddy's medium-term growth trajectory. Progress on semaglutide approval in the Canadian market has been flagged by both Axis Securities and Motilal Oswal as an important growth visibility driver. Additionally, updates regarding Abatacept filing with the USFDA and potential US contract manufacturing partnerships will be closely watched, particularly in the context of mitigating tariff-related risks and strengthening the company's North American presence.






























