BMW Revises 2025 Financial Outlook Amid China Market Challenges
BMW AG has revised its 2025 financial guidance downward, citing weakness in the Chinese market and tariff-related costs. The company now expects a slight decline in pre-tax Group earnings, previously projected to be flat. Automotive free cash flow forecast has been reduced from above €5.00 billion to above €2.50 billion. Factors influencing this revision include weak sales in China due to competition from local EV manufacturers, changes in tariff reimbursement assumptions, and planned dealer support payments in China. The financial impact is expected to be in the high three-digit million euro range, now anticipated for the year after 2025. BMW is responding with strategic EV launches, including the recently unveiled iX3 SUV from its Neue Klasse line.

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BMW AG, the German luxury automaker, has announced a downward revision of its financial guidance for 2025, citing persistent weakness in the Chinese market and tariff-related costs as key factors.
Revised Financial Projections
BMW has adjusted its financial outlook for 2025:
| Metric | Previous Guidance | Revised Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Pre-tax Group Earnings | Flat compared to last year | Slight decline |
| Automotive Free Cash Flow | Above €5.00 billion | Above €2.50 billion |
Factors Influencing the Revision
The company attributes this guidance cut to several factors:
Weak Sales in China: BMW is facing stiff competition from local manufacturers like BYD and Xiaomi, who are offering feature-rich electric vehicles (EVs) at competitive prices.
Tariff-Related Costs: The revision includes changes in assumptions about tariff reimbursements from US and German authorities.
Dealer Support: BMW plans to make payments to support its dealers in China.
Financial Impact
The combined effect of these factors is expected to result in a high three-digit million euro impact, which is now anticipated to materialize in the year following 2025, rather than in 2025 as previously expected.
Recent Developments
- BMW recently released its third-quarter data, which showed declining unit sales in China.
- The United States has lowered tariffs on auto imports from the European Union to 15%, retroactive to August 1.
Strategic Response
To address these challenges and boost future sales, BMW is positioning its next-generation EVs strategically:
- The company recently unveiled the iX3 SUV, part of its Neue Klasse line of electric vehicles.
- This new lineup is expected to play a crucial role in BMW's efforts to regain market share and drive sales growth.
While the revised guidance reflects current market challenges, BMW's focus on innovative EV offerings demonstrates its commitment to adapting to changing market dynamics and consumer preferences in the highly competitive automotive industry.



























