SBI Anticipates Tepid Q1 Performance with Margin Compression; Analyst Meet Scheduled
State Bank of India (SBI) is projected to face challenges in Q1FY26, with analysts forecasting a slight decline in standalone net profit to Rs 16,964.00 crore, down 0.40% year-on-year. Net interest income is expected to fall over 3% to Rs 42,430.00 crore. The bank's net interest margin (NIM) is anticipated to contract to 2.85% from 3.15% in the previous quarter. Despite these challenges, loan growth is expected to remain steady at 11-13% year-on-year, with stable asset quality. Factors such as treasury gains, lower operating costs, and decreased provisions may provide some support to profitability. SBI has scheduled an analyst meet for August 8, 2025, following the declaration of Q1FY26 results.

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State Bank of India (SBI), India's largest public sector bank, is expected to report a subdued operating performance for the April-June quarter, according to analyst projections. The bank is also gearing up for an analyst meet to discuss its Q1FY26 results.
Projected Financial Performance
Analysts anticipate a slight decline in SBI's standalone net profit for the quarter. The bank is expected to report a net profit of Rs 16,964.00 crore, down 0.40% year-on-year, and a decrease from Rs 18,643.00 crore in the March quarter.
Net interest income, a key metric for banks, is projected to fall over 3% to Rs 42,430.00 crore from Rs 42,775.00 crore in the previous quarter. This decline is attributed to falling yields on advances and the lagged repricing of deposit costs.
Margin Compression
One of the primary concerns for SBI this quarter is the expected compression in net interest margin (NIM). Analysts project the NIM to contract to 2.85% from 3.15% in the previous quarter. Multiple brokerages, including Nomura, Systematix, and Prabhudas Lilladher, have echoed this sentiment, anticipating margin contraction.
Loan Growth and Asset Quality
Despite the challenges, SBI is expected to maintain steady loan growth. Analysts project year-on-year loan growth between 11-13%, although sequential growth is expected to be modest at 0.5-1%.
Asset quality is anticipated to remain stable, with gross non-performing assets (NPAs) expected to decline modestly. However, there might be some pressure on slippages due to stress in the agriculture book.
Factors Influencing Profitability
While the overall outlook appears tepid, several factors are expected to provide some support to SBI's profitability:
- Treasury gains
- Lower operating costs
- Controlled expenses
- Decreased provisions (as one-off provisioning from the previous quarter won't recur)
Upcoming Analyst Meet
In a recent disclosure to the stock exchanges, SBI announced an analyst and institutional investor meet scheduled for August 8, 2025, at 5:15 pm. The meet will take place after the declaration of Q1FY26 results and will be held both in-person at the State Bank Bhavan Auditorium in Mumbai and via live webcast.
The bank stated that the presentation to analysts and investors would be filed with stock exchanges and hosted on the bank's website following the declaration of financial results. SBI emphasized that only information available in the public domain would be shared during this meet.
As investors and analysts await the official Q1FY26 results, all eyes will be on SBI's performance amidst challenging market conditions and its strategies to navigate the anticipated margin compression.
Historical Stock Returns for State Bank of India
1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
-0.11% | +1.30% | -1.03% | +9.16% | -0.46% | +315.02% |