Coal India Q2 Results Preview: Analysts Anticipate Subdued Performance Amid Weak Power Demand
Coal India is set to announce its Q2 FY2024 financial results on Wednesday. Analysts forecast a subdued performance due to lower volumes, reduced power demand, and high inventory levels. Bloomberg estimates suggest an 11.5% YoY revenue increase to Rs 30,394.36 crore, but a 9.5% YoY net profit decline to Rs 5,692.52 crore. Production reportedly fell by 4% YoY, with dispatches down 2%. Factors affecting performance include weak power demand, lower volumes, high inventory, and soft e-auction premiums. Despite near-term caution, analysts maintain a positive long-term outlook based on expected growth in domestic power demand and operational efficiency measures.

*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.
Coal India , the country's largest coal producer, is set to announce its quarterly financial results on Wednesday. Analysts are forecasting a muted performance for the second quarter, primarily due to lower volumes, reduced power demand, and elevated inventory levels.
Analyst Expectations
According to Bloomberg estimates, Coal India's financial performance for Q2 FY2024 is expected to show mixed results:
| Metric | Estimated Value | YoY Change |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | Rs 30,394.36 crore | 11.5% |
| Net Profit | Rs 5,692.52 crore | -9.5% |
| EBITDA | Rs 8,409.30 crore | -2.4% |
The company's production reportedly declined by 4% year-on-year, with dispatches falling by 2%, contributing to the anticipated subdued performance.
Factors Influencing Performance
Several factors are believed to be impacting Coal India's Q2 results:
- Weak Power Demand: A slowdown in thermal power generation has led to reduced demand for coal.
- Lower Volumes: The decline in production and dispatches has affected overall volumes.
- Elevated Inventory Levels: High stock levels may have impacted sales and pricing.
- Soft E-Auction Premiums: Analysts note that e-auction premiums have been softer, potentially affecting revenue.
Brokerage Outlook
Multiple brokerages have issued varied ratings for Coal India, reflecting a cautious near-term outlook:
| Brokerage | Price Target |
|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | Rs 360 - Rs 410 |
| Jefferies | Rs 360 - Rs 410 |
| JM Financial | Rs 360 - Rs 410 |
| Equirus Securities | Rs 360 - Rs 410 |
While the near-term outlook remains cautious due to the thermal power generation slowdown and soft e-auction premiums, analysts view the medium to long-term fundamentals as intact. This positive long-term view is supported by expectations of structural growth in domestic power demand and ongoing operational efficiency measures.
Historical Performance Context
Looking at Coal India's historical financial data, we can observe some trends:
- Revenue: In the previous quarter (Q1 FY2024), Coal India reported revenue of Rs 33,640.50 crore, which was a 4.27% decrease compared to the same quarter last year.
- Net Profit: The company's net profit in Q1 FY2024 was Rs 8,734.20 crore, showing a 20.19% decrease year-over-year.
- EBITDA: Q1 FY2024 EBITDA stood at Rs 10,319.70 crore, a 20.70% decrease from the same period last year.
These figures provide context for the anticipated Q2 results and highlight the challenges Coal India has been facing in recent quarters.
As investors and industry observers await the official Q2 results, all eyes will be on how Coal India has navigated the challenging market conditions and whether it has been able to implement strategies to mitigate the impact of reduced power demand and lower volumes.
Historical Stock Returns for Coal India
| 1 Day | 5 Days | 1 Month | 6 Months | 1 Year | 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1.34% | -0.32% | +0.80% | +0.59% | -12.15% | +253.09% |
















































