Dollar Weakens as Rising Jobless Claims Fuel Fed Rate Cut Expectations

1 min read     Updated on 12 Sept 2025, 08:42 AM
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Radhika SahaniScanX News Team
Overview

The US dollar faced downward pressure due to recent economic data, setting up for its second weekly decline. Jobless claims unexpectedly surged, raising labor market concerns. Despite faster consumer inflation, the increase was modest. Traders are pricing in a 25 basis point rate cut at the next Federal Reserve meeting. The dollar remained stable against the yen, while the euro slightly depreciated to $1.1727.

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*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.

The US dollar continued to face downward pressure as the latest economic data reinforced expectations for potential Federal Reserve rate cuts. The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of major currencies, traded at 97.59, setting the stage for its second consecutive weekly decline.

Jobless Claims Surge

A significant factor contributing to the dollar's weakness was the unexpected jump in U.S. jobless claims. The latest report revealed the largest weekly increase in unemployment claims in four years, raising concerns about the labor market's stability and fueling speculation about the Federal Reserve's next move.

Inflation Data and Rate Cut Expectations

Despite the labor market concerns, consumer inflation data showed prices rising at the fastest pace in seven months. However, the increase remained modest and aligned with market expectations, doing little to alter the prevailing sentiment around potential rate cuts.

The market's reaction to these mixed signals was evident in the Fed fund futures pricing. Traders are currently pricing in a 25 basis point rate cut at the Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting. However, expectations for a more aggressive 50 basis point cut have diminished.

Treasury Yields and Currency Movements

In response to the economic data, the 10-year Treasury yield edged up slightly to 4.03%. This modest increase in yields failed to provide significant support to the dollar.

In the currency markets, the dollar traded flat against the Japanese yen at 147.27. This stability came after a joint U.S.-Japan statement reaffirmed their commitment to market-determined exchange rates, potentially easing concerns about intervention in the currency markets.

Euro's Performance

The euro experienced a slight depreciation, falling 0.1% to $1.1727 against the dollar. This movement came as traders reassessed their expectations for further European Central Bank (ECB) rate cuts. The ECB's decision to hold rates steady at 2% and express optimism about the economic outlook contributed to this shift in sentiment.

As global economic indicators continue to shape currency movements, market participants will closely monitor upcoming data releases and central bank communications for further clues on monetary policy directions and their potential impact on the dollar's trajectory.

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India Refutes Involvement in US Dollar Alternative Initiatives, Says Chief Economic Adviser

1 min read     Updated on 10 Sept 2025, 10:12 AM
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Reviewed by
Radhika SahaniScanX News Team
Overview

India's Chief Economic Adviser has categorically rejected rumors about the country's participation in initiatives to find an alternative to the U.S. dollar in global finance. This statement comes amid growing international discussions about potential challenges to the dollar's dominance in global markets. The clarification reaffirms India's current stance in global monetary affairs and its alignment with the existing financial structure where the U.S. dollar plays a central role.

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*this image is generated using AI for illustrative purposes only.

India's Chief Economic Adviser has firmly dismissed speculation about the country's involvement in efforts to find an alternative to the U.S. dollar in global finance. This statement comes amidst growing discussions about potential challenges to the dollar's dominance in international markets.

No Participation in Dollar Alternative Initiatives

The Chief Economic Adviser clarified that India is not participating in any initiatives aimed at finding an alternative to the U.S. dollar. This announcement serves to address and dispel rumors that had been circulating about India's potential role in efforts to challenge the dollar's position as the world's primary reserve currency.

Implications for Global Financial Markets

This clarification from a high-ranking Indian economic official carries significant weight in the international financial community. It reaffirms India's current stance in global monetary affairs and provides insight into the country's position on the ongoing debates about the future of international currency systems.

Context of Global Currency Discussions

The statement comes at a time when there have been increasing discussions among various nations about the potential for alternatives to the U.S. dollar in international trade and finance. Some countries have been exploring options to reduce their dependence on the dollar, citing concerns about economic sovereignty and the impact of U.S. monetary policies on global markets.

India's clear stance on this matter indicates its current alignment with the existing global financial structure, where the U.S. dollar plays a central role. This position could have implications for India's international trade relationships and its approach to global economic partnerships.

As global economic dynamics continue to evolve, statements like these from major emerging economies like India play a crucial role in shaping perceptions and policies in the international financial landscape. The financial community will likely continue to monitor any developments in this area, given the potential impact on global trade, currency markets, and international economic relations.

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